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  • Sterling is good, the US dollar is trading almost flat

    Sterling is good, the US dollar is trading almost flat

    Sterling is good

    EUR/USD is by far the most important and liquid pair

    The dollar index closed yesterday’s trading session in the red zone. The Fed cut its main interest rate range by 25 basis points. The central banks of Canada and Japan held the essential marks of monetary policy at the same level. The release of important economic reports is expected.

    Sterling stays good this week and it is possible to have another run at 1.3000 against the US dollar. 

    Sterling is good

    The EUR/USD pair is sitting moderately higher on the day at around 1.1160 levels. It is similar to where it was traded on Thursday during the European morning.

    Prev Open: 1.11528
    Open: 1.11517
    Day’s range: 1.11487 – 1.11688
    52 wk range: 1.0884 – 1.1623

    While buyers are looking to place more upside control with near-term resistance, closer to 1.1179,  the important level to look out for will be the 200-day MA 1.1196 and also the offers holding near 1.1200.

    Traders are currently 51% net-short GBPUSD.

     

    But wait for the US jobs report later at 1230 GMT.

    Buyers are keeping near-term control since the FOMC meeting concluded but unless they can break the resistance levels above, sellers will look to drive the price back lower in the future sessions.

    For now, large expiries are seen resting at 1.1150 and 1.1200 so that may factor into keeping the price within a more stingy range before they roll off later today. 

    The dollar was lower this morning but now losses are seen. 

    Sterling is good, majors have stabilized. Investors are waiting to see the publication of the US labor market report for October. That could have an important influence on the rate of adjustment of the Fed’s monetary policy. Current economic statements from the United States have been combined. Experts expect a decline in key indicators of the labor market. Presently, the local support and resistance levels on the EUR/USD currency pair are 1.11400 and 1.11750. We suggest opening positions from these marks.

  • Apple’s Results in Q4 are Really Good, But Some Analysts Weren’t Excited

    Apple’s Results in Q4 are Really Good, But Some Analysts Weren’t Excited

    Apple’s results in Q4 are really good

    Barclays is worried that Apple’s average iPhone pricing is too low
    In an attempt to increase its subscriber base for its services, Apple has been selling iPhones cheaper.
    The iPhone 11 starts cheaper than last year’s iPhone XR.

    Apple’s results in Q4 are great and investors are buying up Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares as the company beat expert estimations. Despite the fact that sales of the iPhone weren’t what was expected but iPad sales and increased Apple TV subscribers add more favorability to these shares. 

    Both hugely beat what investors anticipated.

     

    Apple’s headlines took most of the attention after the closing bell Thursday.  But what if Apple’s historically strong pricing power is slipping, Barclays’ Tim Long is worried.
    In an aim to expand its subscriber base for its services, Apple is selling iPhones cheaper. According to Barclays, the price may be too low.

    “iPhone revenues were in-line, but we believe ASPs were weaker,” Barclays analyst Tim Long said in a message to clients Thursday. 

    Don’t miss this How To Know If a Stock is Worth Buying

    Apple’s results in Q4 came from services

    The truth is that slow iPhone sales at lower prices did not halt Apple to come with the best Q4 revenue ever.

    The company earned a record of $64 billion in revenue. Yes, iPhone sales are decreasing, but service revenue scored a great high result. That is the new Apple’s strategy and it shows the result. The most important thing isn’t hardware sales, instead, expanding the subscription services.

    The $64 billion in revenue is up 2% correlated to Q4 2018, and quarterly earnings per diluted share of $3.03, up 4 percent from Q4 last year. Here is the full report.

    The iPhone sales, Apple’s major moneymaker, proceeded to decrease contrasted to last year. This year it brings $33.36 billion in revenue but last year the iPhone sales brought $,3,40bn more. This year’s drop is a bit more than 9%. Also, Mac revenue was down nearly 5% to $6.99 billion. But earnings came from the other side, from the services business. Apple’s services had touched a record gaining $12,5bn in Q4, the previous quarter ended with $11.46 billion gained from the services. During this year Apple got over 120 million subscribers more than last year and now has over 450 million.

    Some of Apple’s results in Q4 are not so good

    Mac revenue was also down nearly 5% to $6.99 billion, although iPads ($4.65 billion in revenue) and Apple’s wearables/home/ accessories unit ($6.52 billion in revenue) both saw sizable jumps compared to last year.
    Shares of Apple surged more than 1% on Thursday, only several hours after the company reported Q4 earnings and revenue. Apple recorded earnings of $3.03 per share on revenue of $64 billion. 

    Wall Street was foreseeing earnings of $2.48 per share on revenue of $62.99 billion. 

    Barclays now predicts a 12% average selling price drop in 2019 and a 6.5% average selling price drop in 2020.

    On Apple’s official website, you can find a statement:

    “Apple is providing the following guidance for its fiscal 2020 first quarter:
    revenue between $85.5 billion and $89.5 billion
    gross margin between 37.5 percent and 38.5 percent
    operating expenses between $9.6 billion and $9.8 billion
    other income/(expense) of $200 million
    tax rate of approximately 16.5 percent”

    From September this year, Apple has three new iPhone models:  the iPhone 11, iPhone 11 Pro and iPhone 11 Pro Max.

    The iPhone 11 is $699, which $50 cheaper than iPhone XR. These lower prices attracted more customers to Apple’s services business and the company covered the lost gains on the one side with growth on the other. The lower pricing strategy showed good results. 

    Bottom line

    The experts’ concerns are all about average selling prices that were weaker. Investors’ fears are focused on the US-China trade deal. If it falls apart Apple could be faced with rising costs.
    The main question now is Apple capable to set new 5G iPhones next year and how much it will cost.
    Will Apple be able to charge enough without hurting demand? The lower pricing strategy can be very challenging for 5G. At least, the ASP for 5G iPhones has to be $150 higher.

    That’s why Apple’s next quarter will be an intriguing one. Q1 quarter usually includes holiday sales, also it’ll be the first that adds the TV Plus service. Apple is projecting revenue for Q1 2020 in the range from $85.5 billion to $89.5 billion. The revenue in Q1 this year was $84.3bn.

  • Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot Merger

    Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot Merger

    Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot Merger

    Fiat Chrysler Automobiles will merge with PSA Groupe, owner of Peugeot automobiles

    Fiat Chrysler (FCA) and Groupe PSA (Peugeot is the largest PSA brand), have agreed to continue a merger. That would form the fourth-largest carmaker in the world. Their boards are working together on a new relationship. The Wall Street Journal reported the companies are moving forward with a merger. Both companies confirmed this news.

    The merger will give shareholders of each group equal ownership in the new entity.

    On Thursday morning both companies stated that their boards have a mandate to finalize the negotiations in the next few weeks, which means FCA will not tie-up with Renault as was thought this summer.

    The merger would create a company with revenues of €170bn, with an operating profit of over €11bn and vehicle sales of 8.7m. That would lead them ahead of General Motors and Hyundai-Kia in sales. The new potential entity would have a market value of between €45-50bn.

    The model of the merger is a 50-50 all-stock.

    PSA is listed on the Euronext Paris stock exchange.

     Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot Merger

    Since 2014, FCA is officially listed on the NYSE.

     

    After the Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot Merger 

    When the two companies do a merger, PSA chief executive Carlos Tavares is assumed to lead that new group while John Elkann, Fiat Chrysler’s chairman will hold the same position at the new entity.
    Despite this speed, a final agreement of merger needs time and regulatory scrutiny.

    According to Reuters, a merger between FCA and PSA could build a “$50-billion giant better placed to tackle a host of costly technological and regulatory challenges facing the global auto industry.” Details were not published, but some aspects have known.

    For example, the Journal published that the new company would be “legally domiciled in the Netherlands,” with “operational headquarters in the U.S., France, and Italy.”
    Further details and any influence on employment are not yet transparent. The known fact is that FCA has plans to add nearly 5,000 jobs to the Detroit factory to build SUVs. So, the obvious conclusion is that a merger would eventually help FCA in Detroit.

    It isn’t a secret that the Peugeot Group has plans to re-enter the U.S. market. The merger with FCA would provide it through the Chrysler/Dodge/Jeep/Ram dealer network.
    To adjust the value of the two companies, the PSA shareholders should get about a €3bn dividend from the sale of the 46% stake in parts carmaker Faurecia.
    FCA shareholders will receive a €5.5bn ($6.12 billion) cash payout and incomes from the sale of its robot-making Comau unit, estimated at between €200m to €300m.

    New headquarters

    The new group will be based in the Netherlands, a neutral location, where FCA is domiciled and listed in Paris, Milan and New York. The Financial Times reported the FCA will “continue to maintain a significant presence in the current operating head-office locations in France, Italy and the US.”

    Around €3.7bn in predicted annual run-rate synergies are targeted, 80% during the first 4 years. The total one-time cost of achieving the synergies is estimated at €2.8bn, the two companies revealed in the statement.

    Bottom line

    Carmakers are facing large investments in electric cars. That is the reason behind the merge. Costs. This merger would create one of the biggest carmakers groups in the world with well-known brands Citroen, Jeep, Opel, Alfa Romeo, Peugeot, and Vauxhall. This has the potential to be a true rival to Volkswagen, Toyota and the Renault-Nissan Alliance.

    The merger of those two companies looks as wise given the global competition, capital power, and industry complexity from autonomous technologies.

    This could create a global automotive leader.

  • Cannabis Companies Are Infusing Optimism Into Markets

    Cannabis Companies Are Infusing Optimism Into Markets

    Cannabis Companies Are infusing Optimism Into Markets

    There are so many prejudices about cannabis stocks. Yes, the truth is that most cannabis stocks are losing money. But if you take a look at the industry as a whole you will find it is profitable from the beginning.

    Yes, the bulk of cannabis companies based in the US and ADRs are trading trade over the counter. But several cannabis companies are traded on the NASDAQ. That adds liquidity as opposed to the OTC market. Anyway, some investors prefer NASDAQ listed cannabis companies.

    But investors are also very informed that hot investments, like cannabis, demands time to improve. This kind of investment isn’t profitable from the beginning, and investors know that. Several reasons lie behind this. First of all, it is regulation. 

    Regulatory issues have essentially restricted growers to set their products into dispensaries. And taxing the legal pot consumers, also. The end result is that the black-market is blooming. It will take time to fix all these issues. The consequence is that a lot of cannabis companies gain losses.

    But there is one rare part – extraction service providers. Investors are able to recognize them easily, they are present in the market. For example, MediPharm Labs (OTC:MEDIF), or Neptune Wellness Solutions (NASDAQ:NEPT). Their clients can use resins, and cannabinoids, edibles, or infused non-alcoholic drinks. 

    The cannabis industry has begun to shift into the green.

    Moreover, as the cannabis industry has grown, uplisting from an OTC market to a high-ranking U.S. exchange has become a great achievement for many growing cannabis companies. 

    The NASDAQ was the first automated exchange and has long been synonymous with technology and biotechnology. The cannabis companies on the NASDAQ work in the biotech area of the industry. Here are the NASDAQ-listed cannabis stocks we want you to pay attention to.

    Cronos Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CRON)

    It is a Canadian company that holds and wants to locate subsidiaries and licensed producers. Last year Altria invested $1.8 billion in Cronos. 

    Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CRBP)

    It is a cannabis biotech company that researches, developing, and manufacturing. All their products are for cannabis drugs for chronic, inflammatory and many other diseases.

    GW Pharmaceuticals Plc. (NASDAQ:GWPH)

    This company is developing a selection of CBD drugs. For example, Sativex for the spasticity associated with multiple sclerosis and tumor pain. Also, Epidiolex for the therapy of childhood epilepsy. Their products are in use in countries outside the US with regulatory approval. Epidiolex has FDA permission as a therapy for two forms of early-onset epilepsy. GW Pharmaceuticals is developing its products for glioma, autism, and schizophrenia therapy.

    Bottom line

    The most interesting thing about these cannabis companies is that they are starting to uncover their true potential. Or we are starting. And for now, the best choice for investors is extraction companies.

    This subsidiary cannabis niche is now profitable. Can you imagine how much they can increase in the coming years?

     

  • UGAZ And DGAZ Stocks – How To Trade Them

    UGAZ And DGAZ Stocks – How To Trade Them

    (Updated October 2021)

    UGAZ And DGAZ Stocks

    UGAZ and DGAZ are ETNs tracking natural gas prices.
    Energy exchange-traded products (ETPs) might be a good trading opportunity as much as energy ETFs.

    UGAZ and DGAZ stock closely watch the US Natural Gas Fund (UNG) and UNG tracks the price movements in natural gas. 

    Let’s make a distinction between those two.

    The main purpose of UGAZ (VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas) is to increase the daily performance of UNG by three times. That’s 300%. To make this clear, if UNG price grows 1%, UGAZ will display a daily increase of 3%. The best time to trade UGAZ is when you have a bullish sentiment on UNG.

    The main aim of DGAZ (VelocityShares 3x Inverse Natural Gas) is to generate profits from the losses in the UNG fund. DGAZ will increase the losses by three times inversely. Meaning, if UNG price drops by 1%, DGAZ could bring you a gain of 3%. So, the best time to think about DGAZ is when you have a bearish sentiment on the UNG fund.
    As you can see, both UGAZ and DGAZ have 3:1 leverage. That can notably boost your potential profit.

    Trading UGAZ and DGAZ

    If you want to trade them, it’s vital to watch the UNG fund. UNG fund is the basis of ETF that runs both of them. This can be a complex fund but you can go short in the long term and consider both UGAZ and DGAZ. Natural gas is a highly volatile commodity and UNG is not straight associated with natural gas in the physical sense. So, UNG isn’t a clever investment if you keep in mind it fell by more than 90% after its start. Also, it doesn’t pay dividends. Instead, UNG uses future contracts and OTC exchanges to find and copy the natural gas price. It doesn’t hold stocks. So, we can say that UNG isn’t a good investment by itself. There is where UGAZ and DGAZ come to the scene. If you don’t care for dividends and just want to keep the position for a short-time the long-term volatility of FUNG will not affect your investment.

    As we said, UGAZ increases the UNG gains, while DGAZ goes up when UNG falls in price. But keep for the short-term, as long-term holding is never recommended.

    UGAZ and DGAZ trading opportunities

    These products can be risky. Well, you have to follow the news as ETNs give 3-time leverage in a single day. As we said, when the natural gas price rises by 1%, UGAZ will rise by 3%, and DGAZ will fall by 3%. To repeat, if you want to hold UGAZ or DGAZ the percentage performance will oppose your expectations.
    A lot of circumstances may influence these products. For example, politics, global economy, supply and demand, weather, interest rates, and many others.
    The way to trade USO or UNG is to trade options. That will allow you to achieve better risk-reward levels. The profit potential could be tremendous.

    Bottom line

    If you look at the historical data you will find peaks over winter, for example, but also, sometimes the price can make a sharp move down.
    Why does this happen? The natural gas price depends on weather forecasts. So, you have to watch that. If you see the meteorologists are expecting a warm winter you can be sure the demand will be lower. So, pay more attention to DGAZ.
    The other factor that may influence the gas price is the change in natural gas supply. So, you have to keep attention on weekly natural gas storage reports.
    Both will give you the future course of the natural gas price. And, to add more pain, remember, UNG isn’t always successful while mimicking the gas prices. You have to be ready for the UNG price failure.
    UGAZ is a tactical trading tool. It provides 3-time exposure to its reference index, the S&P GSCI Natural Gas Excess Return Index. This ETN is not designed like a buy and holds an investment. The return can differ hugely from its initial exposure.
    It consists of complex effects and extreme concentration on quick period natural gas prospects.
    DGAZ is the inverse product, it is intended to be a tactical trading tool, not a buy-and-hold investment. It is for a one-day holding period.

  • Real Return On Investment

    Real Return On Investment

    Return On Investment

    Return on Investment or ROI, measures the profitability of an investment, for every amount you put in, what profit can you expect.

    Return on investment is a measure practiced to estimate the efficiency of your investment. Also, you can use it to compare the efficiency of different investments. ROI seeks to measure the volume of return on investment in comparison to the costs. So, to calculate ROI, you have to divide the return of your investment by the cost. The result will be displayed in a percentage or a ratio.

    How to Calculate Return On Investment

    ROI formula is:

    ROI = (Current value of investment – the cost of investment)/cost of investment

    Compounding interest sounds like alchemy for many new investors, but ROI is true magic. Particularly when your money rises each year.
    Let’s say you invest $2,000 at 5% interest. You’ll have $3,500 in interest after 15 years. Your initial capital would be grown by $1,500 of interest. But if you invest at a 5% annual compound interest, you will have about $4,158.

    But where is the magic?
    The magic comes now. What if you can earn a higher rate of return?

    What if you invest at 8% or 10%? This can be really important because it is your money and you would like to watch it grow.

    True magic lies in math.

    Let’s say you have an investment goal and also, you know how long you want to hold your investment. For example, you would like to sell some of your stocks after 2 years. Assume you invested $2,000 in the stock. And you did that. You sold your stock for, let’s say, $3,000. Great! You made $1,000 in profit. That is 50% of return which is amazing if you want to calculate it quick and dirty,  and incorrectly. But, you need to factor in your liabilities and annual inflation rate to calculate the real return on investment. Okay, you have to pay a capital gain taxes, for example, it is $150, so you ended at $2,850 which is still good. Yes, your return will not be 50% it is 42.5% after you pay capital gain taxes. Oh, wait! Where is the inflation? Yes, you have to calculate the inflation over those two years. Let’s say the inflation rate is 2.5%.

    $2,850/(1.025×1.025) = $2,713

    Your real value return will be 35.65%.  It is less than 50% of return what you may be expected but it’s still good.
    It was a bit complicated but correct, which is the most important. And it is for two years. Do your own math for longer periods.

    Several things you have to keep in mind.

    A good return on stocks has to surpass inflation, taxes, and fees. Only in that way, you’ll be able to build your wealth.
    Use ROI to compare investments even if they’re not related. It isn’t the same if you are buying blue-chip stock or small-cap. In short, everything is different. But, if you compare only ROI may provide you a clear insight into where you want to direct.

    ROI can be used in combination with the rate of return, which takes into account the time frame, which we did. You can use a net present value or NPV, which we did to calculate the real rate of return.
    The usual return on investment for the majority of investors is about 2-3%. It isn’t great. But if you keep your money in a bank account you will have a negative return, after you factor and pay all taxes and inflation. 

    A  good return on investment is 10-12% per year

    You can beat the market. That is everyone’s goal, right?
    But if you expect to earn 15% or 20% – it’s not going to happen. Or it will happen very rare. Don’t believe in false promises, they are counting on your lack of experience. If you build your financial security on bad premises you will end in a risky field. You may lose all your capital. If you have a more conservative approach to investments you will have a less stressful experience. Investing should give you certainty.

    Bottom line

    ROI is a popular measure due to its simplicity and versatility. Typically, use ROI as a simple measure of your investment’s profitability. Use the ROI on a stock investment. The calculation isn’t difficult. It is easy to understand. If your investment’s ROI is net positive, it is good. Avoid negative ROI, it is a signal of a net loss.

  • Big Market Players Are on Schedule

    Big Market Players Are on Schedule

    Big Market Players Are on Schedule
    The earnings reports season is continuing. So far companies’ earnings were better than awaited.

    by Guy Avtalyon

    Big market players are on the schedule this week.

    UPDATE 30/10/2019

    GE shares rose more than 11% after the company’s earnings report and beat analyst expectations. General Electric also boosted its cash flow for the year.
    Apple and Facebook each topped market expectations after the closing bell on Wednesday. Their stocks rose in after-hours trading.
    Apple posted earnings of $3.03 per share opposite to analysts’ expectations of $2.83 per share. Revenue was $64 billion and it was expected the $63 billion.
    Facebook also topped expectations with earnings at $2.12 opposite to the $1.91 forecast. Revenue was $17.65 billion vs. $17.37 billion forecasted.

    UPDATE 29/10/2019 

    Alphabet (GOOGL) didn’t match earnings expectations in Q3 2019. The earning is$10.12 per share and was expected $12.42.
    Alphabet shares dropped by 4% as the company failed expectations for earnings per share, but recovered and set at around 2%.
    The rest in the company’s report was almost as investors expected.

     

    It is time for the big market players to reveal reports for the fiscal fourth-quarter earnings.
    For example, Tesla stock reported a surprising profit and it’s stock price rose, but the Twitter stock fell. Last week about 21% to $30.75 on Thursday.  Among 168 S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings until Thursday morning, 80.4% hit or overcome analyst expectations.

    The companies have reported revenue hits about 62% of the time this season. This week we are waiting for several big players to raise the numbers.

    Monday, October. 28

    First is the Alphabet (GOOGL) on Monday (today). It has come under increased regulatory supervision, but shares stand good at 20%. Wall Street is predicting earnings of $12.28 a share on sales of $40.3 billion.

    Big Market Players Are on Schedule

    Wednesday, October. 30 is a day for a really big market players

    Apple stock (AAPL) has been up 54% in 2019. Recently the company announced that the new generation of iPhones went better than expected. The demand for new models increased and Apple has grown service offerings. For example, Apple Pay and Apple TV+ produced a lot of gains.

    We will see. Wall Street is predicting earnings of $2.83 a share with sales of $259 billion.

    Facebook is on schedule on Wednesday too. The market hasn’t paid much attention to regulatory concerns. Facebook shares (FB) have increased by 42% in 2019. Forget how Zuckerberg was grilled In US Congress and what did AOC ask him and Mark’s eye-rolling and constant sipping from a bottle with water.

    Wall Street estimates call for earnings of $1.90 a share and sales of about $17.4 billion.

    Facebook is followed by General Electric. Its stock (GE) could rise 23% this year, but it is down for 21% in a one-year period. The truth is that investors will keep attention on cash flow, debt reduction, and debt from legacy insurance liabilities. Wall Street estimates call for earnings of 12 cents per share and purchases of $28.9 billion.

    Big Market Players Are on Schedule

    Friday, November. 1 is reserved for Exxon Mobil (XOM).

    The company earnings have been spent on projects in the Permian Basin and in other countries. Goldman Sachs recently reported that earnings for the whole energy division should jump in 2020. Exxon Mobil stock increased by 1.3% during this year but decreased by 12% in a one-year period. For Q3 2019, Wall Street estimates earnings of 67 cents per share on trades of $60.9 billion.

    Bottom line

    As we know, good companies are delivering on-going earnings and revenue extension of at least 25%. For a long time, Facebook undoubtedly achieved that, the FB stock went higher and higher. Will Facebook get back to the winning trends?

    There’s a lot of skepticism toward Facebook’s future. Its new privacy-focused strategy might depress revenue growth. At the same time, an investigation, regulation, and legislation could restrict Facebook’s vigor. The same may happen to FANG stocks: Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google. Really big market players.

  • Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Plans IPO

    Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Plans IPO

    Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co that plans IPO

    Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co that plans IPO reveals a company is more profitable than Apple
    Net profit scores 9.5 billion yuan ($1,34 billion), signifying a margin of 38%

    Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co has requested to be listed on the Shanghai stock market.
    The company has filed an official application to enter the stock market. Now, the details about its operations are revealed. The company gained a net profit of $1.3 billion from the beginning of this year, which is a margin of almost 38% on the company’s revenue in the same period. This report shows them more profitable than Apple Inc, for example. The filing is published on Friday. Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co covers the 1,300km line, made a net profit of $1.3 billion.

    The lucrativeness of the Beijing-Shanghai line shows how great success can be made with high-speed rail networks. This company’s trains drive at speeds of up to 350km/h which is about 217miles per hour. Thanks to these trains the distance between Shanghai and Beijing is possible to travel in 4,5 hours. The trains are comfortable and luxury. Last year this line transported more than 190 passengers which is approximately 6% of all high-speed rail users in China. From the beginning of this year, an average occupancy rate is 80%. The ticket costs are in a span of $78 (553 yuan) for the class of the standard seat up to $130 for the first class. 

    China’s railway efforts

    Despite the progress of this high-speed line, China Railway had a net loss of almost $29 million in the first 6 months of this year. Also, it reported notable debts of $0.75 trillion.
    The undivided attention is brought by Beijing-Shanghai’s IPO now.
    Analysts think that its planned initial public offering will be popular due to its good financial condition and prospects. For a long time, none of the Chinese railway companies didn’t show interest to be listed in the market. So, this easily could be a good sign for the industry’s presence in the market.

    The company stated in its filing it is positive about the future. The reason is clear. This route is most active and provides a potential for increasing traffic and more profit. The downside is that the company might be influenced by volatility in the macroeconomy.

    Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co has 67 employees. Also, it has assets of $26.48 billion and liabilities of $3.82 billion. But this ratio of 14, 4% is not bad in comparison to the 65% average for China’s rail drivers. The biggest shareholder is China Railway, followed by Ping An Asset Management and China Social Security Fund, the company stated in its filing.

    The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) revealed the filing information on its website. CSRC showed it received the company’s planned PO on Oct. 22.

    China’s railway investment was stable in the first 8 months of this year.

    How to invest in China stocks

    There is a lot of logic to get portfolio exposure to China but it isn’t easy. There are risks and challenges.

    For example, if you want to buy stocks listed on Chinese exchanges, first check if your local brokerage will allow it. The Chinese exchanges may ask you to open a brokerage account with some Chinese companies.

    You can find a lot of Chinese stocks listed on US exchanges through ADRs. Those are certificates issued by American banks for shares of foreign stocks. In this way, foreign companies share are available to American investors. Or you can buy shares in ETF Another possibility is to buy stocks traded over the counter or on “pink sheets.” You will notice that their tickers have “OTC” or ÖTH” in the symbol included. These stocks have tickers that include “OTH” or “OTC”.

     

  • When to Sell Option Call?

    When to Sell Option Call?

    If the trade is going in your favor or for the trade that is going against you – don’t wait until expiration to see what happens. Sell before.

    Fresh traders, particularly those with a little amount on the account, like to buy options. But do they understand all the rules? The vast of them somehow skip selling prior to the expiration date. The truth is that the call option could be sold at any time. Call options give you the right to buy some assets, you already know that. To know when to sell the option call, pay attention to several situations.

    Let’s say you own calls and you decide to let them expire worthlessly. That’s okay. Your decision. But if you forgot and the stock closes on the expiration date the options will automatically be exercised whenever it is “in-the-money” when the market closes.

    And it will be a problem when the next day comes. The next day, the day after the expiration date, the margin call will come. Where is the problem? When you buy an option call, you are buying the right to buy a stock. Did you know that? If you are new in the options trading it is likely you didn’t. And what happens? When margin call comes you have to pay for shares and you’ll be forced to sell your call options. So, it is better for you to sell your options calls before the expiration date.

    So, you have to close your trade before the expiration date.

    When you opened your position your aim was to make a profit, right? So, don’t wait for options to get too close to the expiration date because they will lose the value. As the expiry date is closer, the value is going down. To make a profit it is better to sell your options and close the trade. Of course, you may take a loss too but if you wait longer and as you are approaching the expiration date, the chances to avoid loss are almost zero.

    Avoid margin call

    Lett’s say you bought one call option. How to know when to sell option call? Don’t forget that one option controls 100 shares of stock. And let’s say the strike price is $30. If the stock closes at $30,03 your options will be automatically exercised and you’ll be the owner of 100 shares of stock. Further, your broker will send you a margin call if you don’t have a sufficient amount on your account to pay that stock. And what you have to do? You will be forced to sell the stock to close out your trade. More often, you will sell it below the exercise price. But it isn’t necessary to be your case. You can avoid this unpleasant situation. Just close out your open position before the expiration day. Before the market closes, of course.

    For a strike price, you can calculate the cost to buy a call option and the cost to use it. You can find plenty of websites with options quotes. All you have to do is to type a stock’s ticker symbol and get a quote. You will see a column with months arranged and with the options expiring that particular month. Remember, you can trade the option until the third Friday of the expiration month.

    Calculate options for a strike price

    Find your wanted strike price in the “strike” column. Strike prices are ordered from cheaper than the stock price to higher than the stock price. Suppose the stock’s price is $50 and the strike prices ranging from $20 to $70 in a $2 increase. And you want to calculate an option with a $60 strike price. And suppose you want to buy a call option with a $2 “ask” price.

    To calculate the whole price to buy one option contract you have to multiply the ask price by 100. In our example, it is $2 x 100 which is $200. No, it doesn’t amount to buying the stock, this amount of money you have to pay for the right to buy the stock

    Let’s go further. The next thing to do is to multiply the strike price by 100. That is an added amount you have to pay to use the option.

    $60 x 100 = $6,000

    This means you can buy 100 shares of stock for $6,000 before the expiration date.

    Use volatility forecast

    In general, volatility is extremely important when buying or selling options. Since “returning towards the mean” is especially noticeable on volatility, you can somehow easily forecast the volatility as it goes above a certain point or less than a certain point – it will, most likely, return towards the average volatility.

    You can check the VIX to measure market volatility. Learn here how to do it.

    Bottom line

    Don’t buy call options with the aim to own the stock when the options expire. Your goal has to be to buy a call option and profit when the stock price grows.  If call options expire in the money, you will end up paying a bigger amount to buy the stock. Much bigger than what you would have paid if you had bought the stock. If you want to hold the stock, buy it. Don’t play games with options. 

    And finally, one important note when it comes to questioning when to sell option call.

    The European-style options expire on the third Thursday of the month. The American options expire on the third Friday. Don’t forget about this time difference. This could result in huge financial losses for you.

    Forecast volatility, that’s a key ingredient in profiting from option trading.

  • Tesla Stock Jumped on Thursday the Most In the Past Six Years

    Tesla Stock Jumped on Thursday the Most In the Past Six Years

    Tesla Stock Jumped on Thursday the Most In the Past Six Years

    Tesla’s stock had its best trading day on Thursday since May 2013.
    The third-quarter was profitable and better than anticipated
    The investors are sure it is the beginning of rising to $4,000

    Tesla’s stock jumped big on Thursday after the company had a surprisingly profitable third-quarter. The turn came from excellent progress in its Shanghai factory and that caused the stock price to rise. Also, the fact that the company is making cash and boosting margin has influence.

    Tesla shares rising about 17% during yesterday afternoon’s trading and gain $298 per share. The traders that shorted the stock or were betting it will decrease in price, lost almost $1,4 billion, is S3 Analytics estimation. The closing price was $299.68, and 17.67% of rising was the confirmation of the stock’s best single day of trading since May 2013. 

     

    Tesla Stock Jumped Opposite to Wall Street Expectations

    This was surprising for Wall Street analysts too, they showed more optimism about Tesla’s future in the light of new stock price.
    But even with the opening price of $300 (the last time is seen in February this year) the stock continued negative for the year, down 10% for 2019.

    The important fact is that Tesla had good free cash flow in the last quarter. The company had a steady growth in overall earnings and sales. Having in mind that the auto industry is lowering it is a real success. 

    Distrust in Tesla

    Maybe the best example of distrust in Tesla arises on Wednesday just before the Q3 earnings report. ARK Group DMCC sold 150,000 Tesla shares but later they stated CNBC that its “conviction in Tesla has not changed” and that Tesla is still one of the most important holdings in Ark’s traded funds. The selling of Tesla shares was explained as “a portfolio management thing.” There are some rules related to Ark’s funds that say that no single stock can be more than 10% of their portfolio.

     

    You might be interested: The Boys Are Not All Right

    Bottom line

    Tesla stock jumped on Thursday while investors were amazed by the company’s third-quarter earnings report.
    The day before, the automaker reported improved third-quarter earnings per share of $1.86. That is less than $2.90 in the previous year, but it is above Wall Street expectations of a loss of 46 cents. Tesla made a revenue of $6.3 billion for the quarter.
    It returned to profitability and recorded positive free cash flow. Tesla reported in its Q3 that operating costs are at the below level since its Shanghai-based factory is fit for production ahead of schedule and since Model 3 production started. CEO Elon Musk said he was “super proud” of the Tesla team. 

    The current consensus among 33 surveyed investment analysts, according to CNN Money com. is to hold stock in Tesla. 

    Several Wall Street analysts boosted their price target on Tesla after it reported an unanticipated third-quarter profit and more economical operating expenses.

    If Traders-Paradise has good data, Tesla’s stock price could reach somewhere between $315 and $365 to the end of this year with a tendency to reach $2,500 in the next five years. Tesla stock is attempting to recover the 300 price level but the buy point isn’t clearly visible.