Category: How to Start Trading – Beginners

A Good Entry Point, the More Chances of Profit

The entry point is very important and can determine the end of your trade both in losses or in profits.

Having a good entry point is the first round in reaching a prosperous trade.
What is the entry point? It is actually the price investors have to pay to buy/sell a stock. The exit point, on the other hand, represents the price at which investors exit the trade with loss or in profit.

While the entry point has been extensively examined from the divergence/convergence aspect, the exit point has not got full attention.

Why is that? Well, exits may have hidden tendencies.

But let’s stay on a good entry point.

Traders’ successes or failures depend a lot on trade entries. One wrong entry can destroy your trading, for example. Yes, traders are using stop-loss to lessen the risk in case the market makes big moves.
But let’s talk about how the risk-reward potential can be enhanced by a better trade entry.

First of all, never enter the trade when the market is near to extreme highs or lows from the recent position. That fault may ruin your trade.
We already have seen traders that decided to enter the trade when the trend broke the final high with the hope that the stock price will continue running up.
That was the wrong decision because when the price reaches its highs, in most cases the only way it can go further is down. The price will drop into the previous range. So, you will make a loss.
The reason behind this is that markets never move in one direction forever. Especially after the trend reaches extreme highs and lows. If you place the entry point when the trend reaches the highest, it will always result in losses.
But if you like to take more risks in trading you can do that but be sure where you want to set the stop-loss to lower your losses when exiting the trade.
The wrong entry may occur if you are trying to enter the trade at the point where a large move is, but you are not sure what caused this move is. The direction may shift quickly in the opposite direction and your trade will end in losses.

Reversal strategy for a good entry point

Some traders like to set entry using reversal strategy. What does that mean?
In this entry strategy, the traders are taking the trade with the hope that the market will make changes its trends. They are using pivot point levels, so-called Fibonacci levels. This entry is useful only when the market isn’t trending in an obvious, clear direction.
Don’t use this in all trading.

The real role of a good entry point

The role of a good entry point is to allow you to identify high probability trades. You need the confirmation that you have an edge by reducing emotions.
You need a trading strategy that makes sense and where you can execute entry orders with confidence. It is very important and your good entry point should provide you that. Otherwise, it isn’t good.
Eventually, with a good entry point, you are more likely to enter the profit target or stop-loss. And the chance to look for other opportunities is here also.
A good entry will help you to repeat your trades and increase your advantage. But don’t be too focused on your entry point. Overoptimizing is never good.

Bottom line

A good entry point is very important for the success of your trade. But the exit point is what will control your profit. So, you will need to optimize it. To be honest, the best way is backtesting and finding out what works best for you. There are two ways to do that. You can use complicated calculations, charting, etc. or you can use Traders Paradise’s unique and simple app for optimizing your exit strategy. It’s up to you.

Remember, all is important. But as you can see, you can enter the trade in many situations but you can end your trade with only two: profit or loss.

Trading is a game, you have to make the best move at the right moment.

25th December 2019
Dividend Stock Investing – A Source Of Passive Income

If you are looking for an investment that offers steady income, dividend stocks are a good option.
Start with dividend ETFs because they are the easiest entry point.

By Guy Avtalyon

Dividend stock investing may be a good source of passive income. It will not generate a great profit since the average dividend yield is about 3%, but the income will be stable. But even if you don’t have a million dollars to generate significant income, dividend stock investing still can be a good choice.

So, the first reason to invest in dividend stocks is dividends. You’ll receive a steady and expected income and, also, growing capital over time is the other reason for investing in dividend stocks. Your capital will grow and you’ll have dividends. You can reinvest those dividends in some other stocks or spend as you wish.

How dividend stock investing is a good choice?

To put it simply, by investing in dividend-paying stocks you’ll receive the continuous income as long as you are a shareholder.
Dividend investing has a dual benefit in its nature. Firstly, recurring dividend payments and, secondly, the asset appreciation.

For example, you purchased 100 shares of a company ABC for, let’s say $20 each. And you will receive, let’s say, 3% annual dividend. Your capital invested would be $2.000, and your dividend payment $60. And you will receive your payments no matter if the stock price is growing or dropping. As long as the company is able to maintain it, you will receive your dividend payments.

Pay attention to high yields

If you want to invest in dividend-paying stocks you have to be focused on dividend yields.

If there is a high dividend yield you’ll receive large cash income. That often comes from companies that are not growing fast but have a solid cash flow to support dividend payments.

Also, pay attention to the dividend growth rate. For example, you found a company that is fast-growing but paying dividends less than average. Since such a company is fast-growing you may expect to gain more from dividends in, let’s say, 5 years than you might get from the company with high dividend yield.

The companies in the development or start-up stage, usually have a high price-to-earnings ratio and dividend yield can’t be big. But, when such a company expands, for example, opens new stores or similar, the per-share dividends may increase quickly because the profit rises higher.
That could be great for buy and hold investors.

Investing through ETFs

Dividend ETFs give an easy option to start investing in stocks that pay a dividend.

Since dividend ETF holds hundreds of dividend stocks that provide good diversification of your investment portfolio. As a consequence, you will have safer payouts. In case that some of the companies lower their dividends, you will still have enough, likely you will not even notice that in your total income. ETFs are a really good option for newbies because you will want safe payouts in the beginning.

Individual dividend stock investing

You will need time for this because it is more complex than investing through a dividend ETF. But the good thing is that when you buy dividend stocks it is possible to pick those with higher dividends than those you can find them in an ETF.

What you have to do is to research the company, estimate the safety of the dividend, and finally, decide how much to buy.
You can find dividend-paying stocks on different financial sites, including the online broker’s site.

When you analyze the company, pay attention to how healthy it is, meaning, is it able to maintain the dividend payments for a long time, for example, 5 or 10 years. It requires time but you have to do that.

You have to figure out the payout ratio. Remember, the low payout ratio means the dividend is safer and can grow faster over time. If the payout ratio is over 50%, simply don’t buy that stock.

Also, you will need to diversify your dividend stock investment portfolio. You have to define how many stocks you want to buy. If the stock is riskier you should hold a smaller part of your portfolio on it.

The first concern must be the safety of the stock’s dividend. Don’t focus simply on the greatest dividend yields. There is one thing you have to know, if the yield is high that means the investors have some doubts about the company’s ability to pay high dividends regularly. As a consequence, the stock price may go down and you can lose your invested capital. And the dividend will also fall.

You can buy individual dividend stocks if you like the challenge of picking out the winning stocks. But you must be really good to be able to develop a portfolio of dividend stocks that gives a higher yield. Higher than you could find in a dividend ETF.

Is dividend stock investing an opportunity?

For a long-term investor, dividend stock investing is a great way for passive income. The dividends you get can be reinvested and you will have more income.

When you notice that dividend yield is more than 4% you have to examine it very carefully. If the yield is over 10% the stock is risky.

When dividend yield is too high it indicates the payout is not sustainable, or maybe the investors are selling the stock. The share price will be lower in that case and the dividend yield will increase. In the short term, it may be good but for a long-term investment, it is bad for sure.

Also, if you notice that the company is giving a large percentage of its income as dividends payments, for example, more than 80%, stay away. This isn’t good because it is a sign that the company doesn’t know where to reinvest and assure its future growth. Also, when the payout ratio is too high you can be certain the dividend is unstable and the company has problems sustaining it.

16th December 2019
Real Return On Investment

Return on Investment or ROI, measures the profitability of an investment, for every amount you put in, what profit can you expect.

Return on investment is a measure practiced to estimate the efficiency of your investment. Also, you can use it to compare the efficiency of different investments. ROI seeks to measure the volume of return on investment in comparison to the costs. So, to calculate ROI, you have to divide the return of your investment by the cost. The result will be displayed in a percentage or a ratio.

How to Calculate Return On Investment

ROI formula is:

ROI = (Current value of investment – the cost of investment)/cost of investment

Compounding interest sounds like alchemy for many new investors, but ROI is true magic. Particularly when your money rises each year.
Let’s say you invest $2,000 at 5% interest. You’ll have $3,500 in interest after 15 years. Your initial capital would be grown by $1,500 of interest. But if you invest at a 5% annual compound interest, you will have about $4,158.

But where is the magic?
The magic comes now. What if you can earn a higher rate of return?

What if you invest at 8% or 10%? This can be really important because it is your money and you would like to watch it grow.

True magic lies in math.

Let’s say you have an investment goal and also, you know how long you want to hold your investment. For example, you would like to sell some of your stocks after 2 years. Assume you invested $2,000 in the stock. And you did that. You sold your stock for, let’s say, $3,000. Great! You made $1,000 in profit. That is 50% of return which is amazing if you want to calculate it quick and dirty, and incorrectly. But, you need to factor in your liabilities and annual inflation rate to calculate the real return on investment. Okay, you have to pay a capital gain taxes, for example, it is $150, so you ended at $2,850 which is still good. Yes, your return will not be 50% it is 42.5% after you pay capital gain taxes. Oh, wait! Where is the inflation? Yes, you have to calculate the inflation over those two years. Let’s say the inflation rate is 2.5%.

$2,850/(1.025×1.025) = $2,713

Your real value return will be 35.65%. It is less than 50% of return what you may be expected but it’s still good.
It was a bit complicated but correct, which is the most important. And it is for two years. Do your own math for longer periods.

Several things you have to keep in mind.

A good return on stocks has to surpass inflation, taxes, and fees. Only in that way, you’ll be able to build your wealth.
Use ROI to compare investments even if they’re not related. It isn’t the same if you are buying blue-chip stock or small-cap. In short, everything is different. But, if you compare only ROI may provide you a clear insight into where you want to direct.

ROI can be used in combination with the rate of return, which takes into account the time frame, which we did. You can use a net present value or NPV, which we did to calculate the real rate of return.
The usual return on investment for the majority of investors is about 2-3%. It isn’t great. But if you keep your money in a bank account you will have a negative return, after you factor and pay all taxes and inflation.

A good return on investment is 10-12% per year

You can beat the market. That is everyone’s goal, right?
But if you expect to earn 15% or 20% – it’s not going to happen. Or it will happen very rare. Don’t believe in false promises, they are counting on your lack of experience. If you build your financial security on bad premises you will end in a risky field. You may lose all your capital. If you have a more conservative approach to investments you will have a less stressful experience. Investing should give you certainty.

Bottom line

ROI is a popular measure due to its simplicity and versatility. Typically, use ROI as a simple measure of your investment’s profitability. Use the ROI on a stock investment. The calculation isn’t difficult. It is easy to understand. If your investment’s ROI is net positive, it is good. Avoid negative ROI, it is a signal of a net loss.

29th October 2019
When to Sell Option Call?

If the trade is going in your favor or for the trade that is going against you – don’t wait until expiration to see what happens. Sell before.

Fresh traders, particularly those with a little amount on the account, like to buy options. But do they understand all the rules? The vast of them somehow skip selling prior to the expiration date. The truth is that the call option could be sold at any time. Call options give you the right to buy some assets, you already know that. To know when to sell the option call, pay attention to several situations.

Let’s say you own calls and you decide to let them expire worthlessly. That’s okay. Your decision. But if you forgot and the stock closes on the expiration date the options will automatically be exercised whenever it is “in-the-money” when the market closes.

And it will be a problem when the next day comes. The next day, the day after the expiration date, the margin call will come. Where is the problem? When you buy an option call, you are buying the right to buy a stock. Did you know that? If you are new in the options trading it is likely you didn’t. And what happens? When margin call comes you have to pay for shares and you’ll be forced to sell your call options. So, it is better for you to sell your options calls before the expiration date.

So, you have to close your trade before the expiration date.

When you opened your position your aim was to make a profit, right? So, don’t wait for options to get too close to the expiration date because they will lose the value. As the expiry date is closer, the value is going down. To make a profit it is better to sell your options and close the trade. Of course, you may take a loss too but if you wait longer and as you are approaching the expiration date, the chances to avoid loss are almost zero.

Avoid margin call

Lett’s say you bought one call option. How to know when to sell option call? Don’t forget that one option controls 100 shares of stock. And let’s say the strike price is $30. If the stock closes at $30,03 your options will be automatically exercised and you’ll be the owner of 100 shares of stock. Further, your broker will send you a margin call if you don’t have a sufficient amount on your account to pay that stock. And what you have to do? You will be forced to sell the stock to close out your trade. More often, you will sell it below the exercise price. But it isn’t necessary to be your case. You can avoid this unpleasant situation. Just close out your open position before the expiration day. Before the market closes, of course.

For a strike price, you can calculate the cost to buy a call option and the cost to use it. You can find plenty of websites with options quotes. All you have to do is to type a stock’s ticker symbol and get a quote. You will see a column with months arranged and with the options expiring that particular month. Remember, you can trade the option until the third Friday of the expiration month.

Calculate options for a strike price

Find your wanted strike price in the “strike” column. Strike prices are ordered from cheaper than the stock price to higher than the stock price. Suppose the stock’s price is $50 and the strike prices ranging from $20 to $70 in a $2 increase. And you want to calculate an option with a $60 strike price. And suppose you want to buy a call option with a $2 “ask” price.

To calculate the whole price to buy one option contract you have to multiply the ask price by 100. In our example, it is $2 x 100 which is $200. No, it doesn’t amount to buying the stock, this amount of money you have to pay for the right to buy the stock.

Let’s go further. The next thing to do is to multiply the strike price by 100. That is an added amount you have to pay to use the option.

$60 x 100 = $6,000

This means you can buy 100 shares of stock for $6,000 before the expiration date.

Use volatility forecast

In general, volatility is extremely important when buying or selling options. Since “returning towards the mean” is especially noticeable on volatility, you can somehow easily forecast the volatility as it goes above a certain point or less than a certain point – it will, most likely, return towards the average volatility.

You can check the VIX to measure market volatility. Learn here how to do it.

Bottom line

Don’t buy call options with the aim to own the stock when the options expire. Your goal has to be to buy a call option and profit when the stock price grows. If call options expire in the money, you will end up paying a bigger amount to buy the stock. Much bigger than what you would have paid if you had bought the stock. If you want to hold the stock, buy it. Don’t play games with options.

And finally, one important note when it comes to questioning when to sell option call.

The European-style options expire on the third Thursday of the month. The American options expire on the third Friday. Don’t forget about this time difference. This could result in huge financial losses for you.

Forecast volatility, that’s a key ingredient in profiting from option trading.

27th October 2019
Getting Started Investing is the Hardest Part

Getting started investing can be very easy and smooth since you need a little money to start. Investing is better than savings accounts because it can shorten the period of earning.

By Gorica Gligorijevic

Getting started investing isn’t a big deal, it shouldn’t fright you. Honestly, it’s so easy.

You know what, when I was just a little girl (my grandma used to sing this) my parents gave a lot of effort to teach me how to save money. Grandparents would like to give me money for some holidays with advice to keep it for rainy days. I had my savings account. From time to time, they would put some money there but most of the time they insisted I have to put. And I did it. Not frequently, I have to admit, but still. With time that habit got strong roots. Every month I’d put 10% of my earnings on my savings account. I am still doing the same. That first savings account is my 10%-account.

No matter how big or small portion is. 10% would every time end there.

I can only speak from personal experience but I am sure that other people could easily find themselves in the same situation.

I am not going to give you advice because I know that is almost impossible to put anything on your savings when you are living paycheck to paycheck. Yes, the amount of money that the majority have available to spend every month is insufficient to put something aside. Despite the old saying about money: If you save me today, I’ll save you tomorrow.

But we all know how important is to have something aside. And it is possible. Let me show you how.

How getting started investing

Okay, do you know the rule “pay yourself first”? Yes, starting this is hard. But do you understand the meaning of this rule? Of course, you do but why not tell it again. This means you have to put on your savings every month some amount of money. It doesn’t matter how much it is. A few dollars, or other currency you have. Just when you get your salary, put aside several coins. Every month. And you will see, that amount will grow with time. Try this. I am not going to tell you how should you spend this money. You may have enough for exotic travel, or to buy a car, or after some time you may have enough for house buying deposit. Just start.

No, I will never tell you to live below your means.

Sacrificing isn’t a good way to save anything except life. If you try this method, living below your means, you will be unhappy and you will always have the feeling that something was taken from you. It can be a trigger for something more serious. But, anyway, try not to purchase the famous brands, too expensive things. Do it occasionally if it makes you happy. But don’t let it be your goal. Life is a lot more than brands.

Create a budget

What you can do is to make a budget frame. It is a smart idea to write down the amount of money you have every month. You can do that in some excel spreadsheet, or just in some memo. Also, there is a lot of money management apps you can use. OK, that’s the first step. The next is to subtract all the costs you have, for example, taxes, debts, loans if you have (don’t worry, we all have), etc. What you have in your hands after these deductions is your net income. This is the amount you have to use as a base for creating your budget. So, track your spending to be able to make some adjustments if it is necessary and possible, of course. You should review your budget from time to time to be sure you are on a good track.

Getting started investing

Do you know that your money can work for you? Yes. Let’s assume that after one year of saving you have enough for exotic travel. Why do you need to make it right now? Go somewhere else and save e.g. $1.000 on your trip. That amount is more than enough for getting started off investing. You can do that with less money, here you will find how. You can choose to invest in some mutual funds (it is probably the best for starting), or stocks, or real estate. By investing you will generate a greater return than your money sleeping in your savings account. If you invest in something you will let your money work for you. The whole process may be done with your banker’s help. Your bank has financial advisors, investment advisors, they will tell you where to invest. Or you can engage some brokers.

What are the advantages of investing

One of the main advantages of investment is that you can have your money work for you to earn more. Let’s say this way. You don’t need to work more to earn more. Your investment will that for you. Investing could bring you a higher living standard, for example.

Further, you can apply investment plans for saving and growing money. The best part of investing is that you can be a long-term investor and money earned from investments can be spent to cover future expenses, for example, for your retirement, or buying a house, new car, your children’s higher education costs, or just you want to have more.

It is important for you to understand that investing isn’t gambling.

You can make a profit on investment due to research and careful choice of a suitable investment vehicle. It isn’t betting. The truth is that you can make losses in the market. That’s the reason to make less risky investments. Never mind if they have lower returns. Stay on them until you find yourselves capable to play riskier. That time may never come. You can stay in safe investments for your whole life. It is OK.

In that way, you will protect your property in the long run.

So, you can see that getting started investing isn’t always the hardest part. It can be very easy and smooth. You just need a little money to start. At least if you have some targeted amount you have to save in some period, investing will short that period. You’ll be able to gain it sooner. Sounds good, don’t you think?

10th October 2019
Bull Market – What Everyone Should Know?

A stock bull market means that investment’s price rises over a long period. Investors’ faith in stock prices lead the prices themselves in a self-fulfilling prediction. A bull market means profits for investors who own stocks.

What exactly is a bull market? If you are like me several years ago, you are confused with all these terms, conditions, maths, evaluations, or estimations of the stock market.

May I be honest with you?

The truth is that I know nothing about the stock market when I entered. I was foolish, I know. But my desire to earn, to be investor was something I never have had before. It was like this…

A personal story

A friend of mine had a grandfather. Extremely interesting figure. He came from Italy to the US as a kid. OMG, he was just 12 when he bought a ticket and came with nothing except dreams about fortune. To shorten this story, after several years of struggling he made his first success. He became a clerk in the office of some broker. Step by step, that wonderful man became very rich. People, listen. Very rich!

I wanted the same. ASAP! I asked him for the recipe. Oh, how I would like I never did such a thing! The first lesson was: You know nothing, have to learn a lot. C’mon, man! Give me something else to start. I thought I know everything. I have just finished university. With a diploma in the hands, I thought I know everything possible about anything. Of course, I was wrong.

That blessed man told me I had to learn. How to, where to go? I spoke with some friends. No help. So, I decided to start. I found a broker, put some money (not a lot) on my trading account, and started to find a stock. That was a nightmare! My first trade was totally a disaster! I placed another trade. The result was the same. In two trades I lost everything.

Ok, at least I tried. Then I went back to my friend’s grandfather and asked him to teach me.

“You get your first lesson, my son.”

OK, I understand. I have to go for basic. And I started to learn. You must learn to have a chance to earn.

The bull market was the point where I started. I can’t explain why, but I felt I needed to know what it is.

The term “bull market” indicates a stock market is rising. Of course, every single investor supposes the market to rise. Better say, has a hope it will rise. But having only hope means to stand in the mud. You can slide in a moment and fall. Having my previous experience in the mind, I needed more facts.

Nice from this zoological term

So, I learned that the bull market occurs when the prices rise for 20% or more.

Further, I learned that a bull market systematically produces higher highs and higher lows. A stock bull market happens in a strong economy. Nice again, thanks bulls. But what can drive a stock bull market, that I wanted to know?

And I found (with a little help from my friend) that great revenue, profit, and P/E ratio are the most important.

The revenue should be in line with the economy, meaning revenue should grow by the speed of economic growth. Here is some interesting part. As consumers spend more on goods and services rise the economy will rise. Super!

And I came to the companies profit.

The revenue must generate profit.

But some knowledge defeated me. I thought that great profit is a wonderful thing and it is good when the company can generate more profit from the same revenue money. But it is not so simple.

And the P/E ratio! The stock price is just the amount of money it will cost to buy a share of a company. But stock prices can vary. If the demand for the stock rise, its price will rise too. The P/E ratio estimates the relationship between a stock price and its earnings per share.

I was confused just as you are now, I believe.

In a bull market

In a bull market, you’ll notice powerful demand and limited supply for securities. This means that more investors want to buy securities and less want to sell. What will happen? The stock price will rise, right. Let’s go further! Let’s observe investors’ psychology.

In the stock bull market condition, investors have the hope of earning a profit. They are positive and optimistic. Oh, how I wanted to have that experience. Instead, I was scared to death. I needed more knowledge to sure what I am doing. My first trade was so stressful and, by the way, I wanted to show my older friend that I can learn.

In the periods of the bull market, people have more money.

And they are spending. In turn, it stimulates the economy to grow. My old friend told me something important and let me share that with you.

When it is the bull market, you should buy stocks in the early stage, while they are not too expensive. As the price goes up, just wait for its peaks and sell your stocks. And don’t worry if there are some losses in price. It is temporary. Just invest in more stocks with a higher chance of getting a bigger return.
I am grateful to him for this lesson. But there was one piece of advice that sounded the most important to me: “Play the market like toreador plays his wonderful performance in the arena. Peaceful, with confidence, elegant. Tickling the bull. You have to know where the limits are, don’t get surprised.”

I’ll not. Thank you, my dear mentor.

9th October 2019
Stock Investing – The Pros and Drawbacks

5 min read

by G. Gligorijevic

Stock investing isn’t just buy and sell stocks. It is the whole philosophy and math. Well, you have to learn more about the logic behind the stock market.

When you want to buy a stock, that means someone else has to sell it. Be aware, that someone has worked on the numbers and concluded that the wise move is to get out of the position right now. Do you know why that one decided like that? How to be sure you are doing a good job if you pick that stock?

Stock picking is a struggle against other investors.

Maybe they know just like you, maybe more, maybe less.

The basic formula is easy: Pay a value that’s smaller than the long-term, per-share price of the underlying business. The philosophy of investing is in understanding how to determine that value.

Maybe you prefer to be a “growth” investor. So, your focus should be on the analysis of a company’s potential for future profits. You should choose the one growing fastest. As a growth investor, you are interested in great earnings. The P/E or price-to-earnings ratio is a popular metric for valuing stocks. Growth investors often are willing to pay P/Es of 20 or more.

Value investors usually buy stocks with lower P/E ratios. This appears more traditionally. But buying cheap has some risks. Very often when some stock is cheap it is a sign that the company has some problems. Is this true? No! Simply NOT! There is no easy way or formula that helps you to pick a fabulous stock to deal with. You have to research and make a decision.

But maybe you should invest in funds than individual stocks.

Stock investing demands time and intense analysis. It also needs notable cash to create a fully diversified portfolio. A choice is a mutual fund. That will spread your bets between hundreds of stocks.

Stock investing is attractive and enjoyable for a lot of people. If you want to enter the market on your own, you can use funds as the essence of your portfolio. Later, just set aside a small account for your selection of the individual stocks.

One of the main benefits of investing in the stock market is the chance to grow your money. Over time, the stock market performs a rise in value. Yes, the prices of individual stocks rise and fall daily. But, investments in solid companies that are able to grow, tend to make profits for investors. Moreover, investing in many different stocks will boost your wealth by leveraging growth in different areas of the economy. It will bring you a profit even if some of your individual stocks lose value.

Stock investing gives a lot of benefits to investors.

Owning stocks means to take advantage of a growing economy.
How does it come?
That is a kind of chain of good fortune. Everything is connected and logical.
Assume you want to buy a stock you’ve been examining for some time. And finally, they announce a surprise bit of good news and the price rallies sharply higher and so you jump in.
Let’s say, you have a sudden profit on your hands but, the stock reverses. It has retracted back to your entry price. Actually, it has gone beyond your entry price and you are a loser! You may think that it’s just market games and “shaking out weak hands”. So, you decided to hold on, knowing that patience is a trading power. Finally, you’re down further than you expected to be in the stock.
If you were ultra convinced of the upside potential, you may see this as an opportunity to buy more shares at a better price. On the other hand, you may panic and sell as you continue to watch the price trend further against you.

What happened?

Experts developed the “Efficient Market Hypothesis” which states that stock prices instantly diminish all news. So, there’s no possible way for a trader to profit from news releases. That experts feel that strongly.

Here is one example.

Maybe two years ago, Samsung announced it is expecting profits to hit record levels in the third quarter. And almost three times as much as the same period the year before.
Following the announcement, their share price dropped.
That might seem counter-intuitive. But there are other factors at play. At the same time as announcing this expected profit win, Samsung’s CEO quit. He told that the company was going through an “unprecedented crisis” and that “a new spirit and young leadership” was needed to respond to the challenges. In this case, the decline in stock price can be understood. You know, if the CEO is worried, perhaps investors should be too.

But sometimes share prices drop on good news and it is really hard to understand why.

Market expectations are always priced into the market price. Say, for example, a company has a forecasted earning per share of $1. They’ve never missed an earnings target. So investors expect the firm will actually earn $1.10 per share. They think it’s currently undervalued. The firm then announces an earnings report of $1.05 per share.

Good news, right? They beat their forecast.

But, crucially, because investors thought the firm should earn more than this $1.05 per share, the stock’s price was bid upwards to a price that reflected earnings expectations. Because the real earnings are less than the current market price, the stock price drops as investors sell off their shares.
This effect can be intensified by investors who completely copy what everyone else is doing. In this case, selling off their shares. Every investor must have the bigger picture. That’s the point.

What you have to do?

If the stock is basically strong, hold the stock despite the stock price going down. It won’t matter much in the long term if the company. Most of the great companies focus on their long-term goals. This means that a few times, they might miss the short-term expectations.
But, short-term interests shouldn’t be ignored completely by the company or investors. Nevertheless, if the company is overall performing good in the long run, then there’s no point of worry. In any business, there will be few difficulties in the short run.
Additionally, do not get connected to short-term expectations. Analysts will keep on making expectations every quarter. It’s their job and this is what they are paid for. If a company keeps on working for the short-term goals, it might never be able to focus on long-term growth.
Overall, if the temporary setbacks are not going to affect the long-term profitability of the company, then ignore the short-term fluctuations and hold your stock.

2nd October 2019
How Often to Check The Investments?

2 min read

by Guy Avtalyon

Your investments should certainly be periodically checked but not every day. Even though it is your money invested. You have a bigger chance to lose money if you check your investments every single day.

How?

Well, you know that the price changes occur very frequently due to the stock market volatility. The stock price can rise and drops hourly. Watching that, you may feel a bit more nervous about your investments and provoke you to sell instead to hold and wait for the price to increase. Also, you have to know that daily fluctuation in stock prices does not influence your investments. The most important is how your stocks perform in a bigger time frame.

If you check your investment too frequently, you will end up acting irrationally to market movements and sell your stock at a low price.

Yes, I know, our investments may give us the impression that we will never end up with sufficient money. You have to know how often to check your investments so that you don’t destroy them.

For new investors, quick gains can cause investing to look impressive. It is normal to check your investment every night. I can understand that. I know some investors are checking several times a day. If you need to be worried about your investment it is a sign you made the wrong choice.

If your portfolio loses just a bit in a few days or weeks there is no reason to panic. The statistic shows that fresh investors usually put money in mutual funds or ETFs because they are afraid to invest in more volatile stocks and they avoid them. The truth is that holding stocks requires more attention, time to track them, and knowledge.

But you can’t have only mutual funds or ETFs in your portfolio and check them once a year. You would like to have stocks as well. And a lot of things will be changed.

So, how often to check the investments?

With stocks, things are pretty different. You have to check them at least once a week to notice if something, some event, for example, influences your investment.

If you are holding or trading individual stocks, try to check them quarterly. OK, maybe monthly if you are so nervous. It is reasonable to check your investments from time to time. But too much checking can make you panic and sell at a lower price. And you will start that chain. That frequently checking will cause trading, fast trading will cause over-selling, over-selling will produce more fees and costs. Also, if you have too much trades you will have low returns.

It is smart to pick a good investment strategy and stay with it. Check the progress of your investment quarterly and check the price, for example, monthly.

With mutual funds and ETFs, you have wide diversification, so once a year is enough.

With stocks, check it out by online approval or in the paper version. Most of the financial websites such as Yahoo Finance and some others offer stock research data. Also, your broker has quotes available.

How often to check your investments? Less is better. You are investor, investing is a marathon, it is for a long run. Make a reasonable plan, according to your risk tolerance, be patient. Rebalance your investments once a year and let your money work for you.

23rd September 2019
Investing With Just $100 Per Month

You don’t believe it’s possible? Well, you should read this post.

By Guy Avtalyon

Ok, you have an extra $100 each month and you are enthusiastic about investing but you don’t how it works? Also, you are worried if $100 is enough? Investing with just $100 per month is possible, of course.

You don’t need thousands of dollars or euros or whatever to become an investor and get into investment. Traders-Paradise found several possibilities for investing with just $100 per month.

Reasonably, you will not make a ton of profit off a $100 investment, but the crucial thing is really getting started. $100 may not appear important, but you can make it expand into more.

This is where it gets a bit more difficult.

One of the hugest problems with investing a small sum is that brokerage fees can be expensive. For example, if you want to buy some stock that can cost you up to $20 with some brokerage and your investment easilly may become $80 worth. Yes, there is a simpler way and cheaper brokerage.

There is one way that will cost you less. Just use some investment app. Most of them will charge you a $1 per month fee. The great thing about investment apps is that you can easily pick the simple portfolios related to your goals, interests, and ideas about investing.

The app will do the rest.

Honestly, when it comes to investing, time is more significant than the sum. Let’s say you are in your 18s. With an interest rate of 7%, you could end with almost $50,000 after 20 years by investing with just $100 per month.

It’s never too start investing, but why should you waste your time and miss the opportunity to get the wealth.

Savings account

The best place for you to start with $100 per month is to set it in a savings account. That will be more an emergency fund than investing with current interest rates. But it will provide you to get into more serious investments because you will build a safety net. You will not capture great returns but you will be safe even if you lose your current job. At least by putting $100 every month on your savings account you will have several months of breath if such an incident appears.

Hold it as the source to something bigger. Wise investing can turn your $100 into a great future and you have to begin around.

The time frame will make an immense variance in how you should invest. So, suppose you want to invest in stocks.

Stock investing with just $100 per month

If you have $100 that you’re able to load every month, you should think to invest in individual stocks. I already mentioned that will cost you 20% of your investment and you may think it is too expensive. But think again. The misconception is that you need a lot of money to be able to invest in a stock. Investing with just $100 per month is quite good for the start.

Let’s debunk the theories.

For beginners, if you’re ready to do your homework and buy around amid brokers, you will find a great potential. For instance, you can find a broker with bare-bones $5 commission and without minimum deposit terms. What you have to think about is that low-cost brokers may charge you some additional costs, for example, inactivity fees or additional costs connected with buying stocks trading below $2 per share.

But, if you buy individual stocks you are entering the long run. Yes, it is possible to find a good stock for investing with just $100 if you have a long investment horizon. You will hold your stock for years. If you trade them you will pay 10% commission for every buying or selling, that’s true. If you don’t like to pay commissions every month you can make savings of $300 or $400 and buy stocks every 3 or 4 months, you don’t need to buy stocks every month. In this way, you can lessen your cumulative commission charges.

Certificates Of Deposit or CD

Of course, there is an alternative to investing in stocks. You can invest in CDs. This simple way. All you have to do is to loan your money to the bank and collect the interest on it. CDs range in time from 3 months to 10 years. The point is, the longer you invest, the higher interest you will catch.

Moreover, the CD is penalty-free. That gives you the possibility to withdraw your money if you want and without penalty. But read everything you have to sign, some CDs have penalties. Some banks can charge you if you withdraw your money before the maturity of the contract.

Another solution for your investing with just $100 per month is peer-to-peer (P2P) loans.

The cool thing with this type of investment is that you can decide not only how much you want to invest but also, how your investment will be used. You may choose one particular investment from the different loans, also, you can determine an interest rate and loan period. As an investor, you will get your money back according to repayment plans.

Index funds are a good choice for investing with just $100 per month

Some companies don’t have a minimum balance requirement for index funds. So you can invest $100 in a class of stocks. The primary index fund tracks the S&P 500, but you can find numerous other. Index funds are good because they give the diversification of your investment portfolio. Some stocks will rise in value, some will drop, but the final result is that you will profit.

What do you want wit that $100? Do you want to improve your current financial situation, or maybe you want your capital to grow? You have to figure out that.

If your finances are in good health, then there is no excuse to delay investing.

Start building your wealth. Don’t worry if you have just $100. It is enough to start, it will turn into more! But if you don’t begin investing, you will never have that chance to earn. The day when you will think how smart you were when invested $100 is so close. So, simply start investing with just $100 per month.

16th September 2019
How To Profit By Investing In Bad Companies

2 min read

You don’t believe it is possible. Profit by investing in bad companies sounds pretty stupid and naive. But it is possible.

To be more precise, sometimes it is possible to make notable investment returns by buying the stocks with minimum chances. The key is to recognize the companies which will grow in the future.

There is some math behind. The point is to make a difference between business and stocks.

Let’s be more clear!

For example, you have some money aside and want to invest in some cheap stocks. But you find two similar companies in the same industry, say gold.

Company ABC is a large one. Gold is currently at $100, its exploration and other costs are $60, that is a $40 profit. Not bad.

Company XYZ is a disastrous business. It’s exploration and other costs of $90, which is only $10 in profit at the current gold price of $100.

Which one to choose?

The logical answer would be ABC but the wrong one.

Let’s assume the hypothetical situation.

The price of gold suddenly rise in the market, and the current it is $300, for example.

Let’s see the numbers for those companies.

Company ABC offers $240 in profit.

$300 gold price – $60 in expenses = $240 profit

Company XYZ offers $210 in profit

$300 gold price – $90 in costs = $210

But here is where the math has the greatest influence.

Company ABC earns more money for any reason, its profit rose 600% from $40 to $240. But, compare it with company XYZ which grew its profit 2,100%.

Moreover, there is a phenomenon

It is very reasonable to assume that company XYZ will experience a multiple expansion, meaning added increase. The possible final result: company XYZs stock price is raising exponentially more, much more than the stock price of company ABC.

What to say? Company ABC is maybe a healthier business, but company XYZ is better as a market choice.

How is possible to profit by investing in bad companies?

This is recognized as operating leverage.

Operating leverage describes a company’s level of fixed costs in comparison to its revenue. Companies with high operating leverage have large fixed expenses. They are obliged to cover them as first. If fixed expenses are exceeded, the revenue will fall. Such a situation may cause great difficulties for the company, from large cuts to lower profits, even bankruptcy.

You can find companies with high operating leverage in almost all sectors and industries. Gold miners, airlines, crude oil companies, are some examples. Actually, you may find these companies where the business has enormous changes in revenue. You will notice enormous profitability fluctuations. That comes because fixed costs can’t always adapt as quickly as the market value.

But you have to know that investing in bad companies carry a lot of stress and risk. Investing in some of these companies can make you rich but it is almost impossible for them to provide you a constant profit.

It’s easier to invest in some solid businesses with steady profit and dividend. You should avoid headaches.

You would like to read How to Become A Trader or Investor in Just 10 Minutes

15th September 2019