Tag: exit strategy

  • How to recognize early warning signs to exit the trade

    How to recognize early warning signs to exit the trade

    recognize early warning signs to exit the trade
    What can make or destroy the trade is the right exit point. Don’t hold on to trades in the hope of making just a few more dollars when the market is moving against you.

    By Guy Avtalyon

    As a trader, you’ll often consider possible profit when you have to decide about exits, but can you recognize early warning signs to exit the trade? Traders Paradise wrote many times about the importance of exit strategies in trading stocks, forex, or currency. And I have to repeat if you think about the level where you enter the trade without thinking about your exits, it’s more likely you’ll end up in losses.

    Some early indicators can warn you it’s time to exit the trade.

    I know it’s sexier to buy stocks. We all like it. The feeling is wonderful after you spent so much time examining stock, analyzing it to find the perfect one. How would you feel if your stock is not performing well? What about your attitudes? Do you feel like a loser?  No one likes to watch the stock go down. Even if it is obvious that the stock is performing badly, most of us would hold it and wait for better times. What is behind this attitude? We want to avoid the feeling of loss, the experience of losing something. Contrary, when the stock price increases, most traders will sell the stock to lock-in profit and lose the possibility of further gains.

    Anyway, it’s important to sell stock at a specific moment to prevent further losses, and you have to recognize early warning signs to exit the trade. But what they are and how to recognize them?

    Recognize early warning signs to exit the trade

    Getting out of the trade isn’t complicated, but it requires research of price action, finding and noticing signs that could predict a reversal or changes in trend. 

    You have to know that markets tend to trend between 15 and 20 percent of the time. Strong trends are helping in the consolidation of recent price changes. They are helping in taking profits, lower the volatility. But what if a trading range becomes bottom or top and exits in the opposite direction of the previous trend swing?

    This could be one of the early warning signs to exit the trade. When you’re watching the price action and notice a failed breakout or breakdown, the best strategy is to exit the trade.

    Failed breakouts or breakdowns are signs to exit the trade with profit or loss. You can re-enter the trade when the price surpasses the breakout high or low of the breakdown. That could be a logical move after recovery because the possibility of the underlying trend to resume is great. It’s also possible the price moves to the other side of the trading range and forms a strong trend in the opposite direction.

    High-volume days as an early warning sign 

    Well, to notice these kinds of early warning signs to exit the trade, you’ll need to track the average daily volume. For example, observe the last 50 sessions. It’s easy to notice trading days with four times or higher volumes. That’s a good sign if it happens in the direction of the position you are holding but take it as a warning sign if it is opposite from your position. This is exceptionally valid if the opposing swing breaks an important support or resistance level.

    High-volumes that oppose the direction of your position could ruin patterns. They are often a signal to exit the trade and to take the profit in an uptrend.

    Also, pay attention to peak days that can stop trends. They could show four or five times average daily volume in price bars that reach new highs in an uptrend or new lows in a downtrend. The top bar shows up at the end of a price swing after RSI indicators scored uptrend or downtrend levels.

    Moving average and trends can help to recognize early warning signs

    Take a look at these three lines: 20-day EMA, 50-day, and 200-day EMA. It could be a difficult position if, for example, 20-day EMA descends through the 200-day EMA. Also, when 20-day EMA ascends through the 200-day EMA. The first example signals the danger for long positions, while the second is important for short sales.

    Price actions are also early warning signs to exit the trade when the intermediate moving average is higher to sideways on long positions. The change from lower to sideways on short sales also is a warning. Don’t hold or wait for the moving average to change the slope. Exit the trade.

    Be adaptable, not emotional. 

    The market isn’t always moving in your favor. So, never force your initial targets further away. This could lead you to loss or fewer profits than you awaited. But before you exit the trade, you have to understand whether your decision is a product of emotions or logic. If you move your target far away from your initial plan, you’re actually showing greed. Don’t do that. You must have a strategy and stick to it. Your strategy must be well pre-planned. If the market moves against your stop-losses, you have to exit the trade. Move your stop-losses only to reduce possible loss. If you exit the trade before the stop-loss target, you’ll probably miss the possibility of making a profit when the market shifts and starts to move in your favor.

    When you enter the trade, make adjustments only if necessary. The most important is to keep the balance and reduce the risk.

    Honestly, there is no best strategy to exit a trade. One strategy could work properly for some trades but lead to a great loss in others. But one thing is true, so many researches showed that you’d end up in losses more often if you fail to stick to your strategy.

    Risk is an integral part of trading. You have to watch market movements and set proper risk management strategies. The exit strategy is an important part of them. Moreover, the exit strategy can decide your profitability in the market.

  • Exit Strategies For Smart Trading

    Exit Strategies For Smart Trading

    Exit Strategies For Smart Trading
    Most traders fail because they don’t have the exit strategies but they are maybe more important than entries. 

    Exit strategies for smart trading mean that you as a trader know where to stop losses and take the profit. Of course, you can’t do it randomly by setting stop-loss at 1%, 2%, 5%. Anyone who wants to become a trader must know the statistics: 90% of traders lose money when trading the stock market. Well, 10% make money all the time. Traders-Paradise’s aim is to show you how to trade smart, how to enter the elite club of 10%.
    Everyone seeks to be in the 10% who make money, but the number of those who really want to devote is surprisingly small. You will need exit strategies for smart trading. 

    But there is a problem. Exiting a trade makes traders hesitant. We want to explain exit strategies, their importance, and give you a chance to make a profit, not a loss. In simple words, we’ll explain to you how to do “smart trading”.

    Trading is easy but you need the know-how 

    Stop-loss (S/L) and take-profit (T/P)  are the two main points that traders have to plan ahead when trading. Successful traders know there are several possible results in trade. They know that they can exit too early or too late and miss out on the profit. The other solution is to exit a trade at an accurate time which results in making money. We want you to look right there, to the point where you can exit your trade in profit.

    Have you ever heard saying “let your profits run”? Well, some will run for a long time but some will fall on the start.

    If you want to earn in trading stocks you have to do something that others don’t. You need an exit strategy established for each trade. This means you must have a trading plan.

    Knowledge united with experience and effort to produce success

    To make this clear, you will not find any consistently profitable trader who will tell you that relies on luck. Every successful trader has great knowledge, experience, and trading goals.

    Some statistics tell us that learning to trade stocks requires two to five years of experience. Well, that’s hard work and commitment and there are no shortcuts. Don’t be worried or give up now! Trading stocks isn’t rocket science! The interesting thing with rookies is most of them seek for complicated solutions. Don’t let be seduced by gurus in the industry. The whole thing can be very simple.

    The exit strategies for smart trading

    One of the exit strategies for smart trading is to use targets to book partial profits. How does it work? Before you enter the position you have to define targets and when they come, take some part of your position off for profit. The portion of how much you’ll take off depends on your risk tolerance and trading plan. An experienced trader will take off 1/3 of their position or even half when the first target is scored. 

    Advantages

    This has several advantages. The stock market is volatile and stock prices are shifting direction quickly, so it is smart to book a part of the profit because you will not like to look at the market going against you. It is a bad experience and painful. So, try to avoid that. Well, when you take off some part of the profit, you will still have the other portion in the game. Smart enough? Anyway, this trading plan is simple. But there are plenty of other exit strategies for smart trading. 

    One of them is profit targets which means to identify the profit targets for the current cycle of stock. You would like to know where the price is possible to go. The point is to determine if you have to get out or stay in. But placing profit targets shouldn’t be randomly placed. So the most important feature you need is to check if your exit strategy is good. How can you do that – find HERE. This a game-changer. Check it out! Note, you shouldn’t place your profit targets too far away or too close.

    Stop-Loss strategy

    Did you make your first stock trade? What are you doing now? Are you relaxing and waiting to become a billionaire? Don’t do that! Even if you see your stocks running higher there will be one or few starting to fall. What are you going to do now? You have to know that just one loser can ruin your whole capital. 

    The point is that the stock market is risky and all money that you invest in stock may end up in 100% loss. Of course, you shouldn’t stop investing and trading. So, just take some steps to ensure that you reduce your losses. There is a way to do it. If you place a stop-loss, you practically ensure that your losses do not exceed a specified amount. A stop-loss order means to sell a stock when it enters an established price or percentage. For example, you bought a stock for $100 and you don’t want to lose more than 7%. All you have to do is to place a stop-loss order at $93. If your stock drops below $93 your stock will be automatically sold. The other possibility is your stock is going up. So, let’s say, it trades at $160. That’s a very nice profit of $60 or 60%. What can you do? Just lock in profit at $130, for example, and set a stop order at the same amount. 

    The benefits

    A stop-loss strategy provides you to stay in the game. If you put a 4% stop on your trades, you will never lose more than 4%, for example. It is simple, yet many traders do not use it. Moreover, they don’t have an exit strategy. We have to say, that isn’t trading, that is gambling.

    What stop loss percentage should you use? Some experts’ recommendation is 8%. At the moment you buy a stock, immediately put a stop-loss at the level you are willing to lose. Nothing less, nothing more. You can adjust your stop-loss order depending on the stock price direction. 

    Why exit strategies for smart trading?

    Exit strategies boost assurance and profitability. Calculate reward and risk levels before entering a trade, find a strategy to exit the position at the most profitable price, no matter if you are taking a loss or a profit.

    The traders caught the losses due to a lack of exit strategy from the trade before they entered the trade. 

    The majority just take the position in the stock market. Do they have any idea of where to exit the position? What to do if the stock moves in both beneficial or bad directions? A lot of traders ask for help after taking a position. Hence, you should never fall into that trap. You MUST have exit strategies for smart trading. Otherwise, you will lose your capital, home, family. Exit strategies bring discipline. It is important for every trader to take out the profit at the right time. Let us ask you something. Why are you trading stocks? To make money, of course. That’s why you are in the stock markets. Taking profits is the main goal, right? That is possible only and ONLY if you have an exit strategy.

  • A Good Entry Point, the More Chances of Profit

    A Good Entry Point, the More Chances of Profit

    A Good Entry Point, the More Chances of Profit
    The entry point is very important and can determine the end of your trade both in losses or in profits.

    Having a good entry point is the first round in reaching a prosperous trade.
    What is the entry point? It is actually the price investors have to pay to buy/sell a stock. The exit point, on the other hand, represents the price at which investors exit the trade with loss or in profit.

    While the entry point has been extensively examined from the divergence/convergence aspect, the exit point has not got full attention.

    Why is that? Well, exits may have hidden tendencies.  

    But let’s stay on a good entry point.

    Traders’ successes or failures depend a lot on trade entries. One wrong entry can destroy your trading, for example. Yes, traders are using stop-loss to lessen the risk in case the market makes big moves.
    But let’s talk about how the risk-reward potential can be enhanced by a better trade entry.

    First of all, never enter the trade when the market is near to extreme highs or lows from the recent position. That fault may ruin your trade.
    We already have seen traders that decided to enter the trade when the trend broke the final high with the hope that the stock price will continue running up.
    That was the wrong decision because when the price reaches its highs, in most cases the only way it can go further is down. The price will drop into the previous range. So, you will make a loss.
    The reason behind this is that markets never move in one direction forever. Especially after the trend reaches extreme highs and lows. If you place the entry point when the trend reaches the highest, it will always result in losses.
    But if you like to take more risks in trading you can do that but be sure where you want to set the stop-loss to lower your losses when exiting the trade.
    The wrong entry may occur if you are trying to enter the trade at the point where a large move is, but you are not sure what caused this move is. The direction may shift quickly in the opposite direction and your trade will end in losses.

    Reversal strategy for a good entry point

    Some traders like to set entry using reversal strategy. What does that mean?
    In this entry strategy, the traders are taking the trade with the hope that the market will make changes its trends. They are using pivot point levels, so-called Fibonacci levels. This entry is useful only when the market isn’t trending in an obvious, clear direction.
    Don’t use this in all trading.

    The real role of a good entry point

    The role of a good entry point is to allow you to identify high probability trades. You need the confirmation that you have an edge by reducing emotions.
    You need a trading strategy that makes sense and where you can execute entry orders with confidence. It is very important and your good entry point should provide you that. Otherwise, it isn’t good.
    Eventually, with a good entry point, you are more likely to enter the profit target or stop-loss. And the chance to look for other opportunities is here also.
    A good entry will help you to repeat your trades and increase your advantage. But don’t be too focused on your entry point. Overoptimizing is never good.

    Bottom line

    A good entry point is very important for the success of your trade. But the exit point is what will control your profit. So, you will need to optimize it. To be honest, the best way is backtesting and finding out what works best for you. There are two ways to do that. You can use complicated calculations, charting, etc. or you can use Traders Paradise’s unique and simple app for optimizing your exit strategy. It’s up to you. 

    Remember, all is important. But as you can see, you can enter the trade in many situations but you can end your trade with only two: profit or loss.

    Trading is a game, you have to make the best move at the right moment.

Traders-Paradise