Category: Traders’ Secrets

Traders’ Secrets is something that everyone would like to know, right?
How is it possible that some traders are successful all the time while others fail to make a profit all the time?
That is exactly what Traders’ Secrets will show you.
Traders-Paradise’s team reveal all trading and investing secrets to you, our visitors.

What will you find here?

How to find, buy, trade stocks, currencies, cryptos. You’ll find here what are the best strategies you can use, all with full explanation and examples.
Traders-Paradise gives you, our readers, this unique chance to uncover and fully understand everything and anything about trading and investing. The material presented here is originated from the experience of many executed trades, many mistakes made by traders and investors but written on the way that teaches you how to avoid these mistakes.

Moreover, here you’ll find some rare techniques and strategies that are successful forever, for any market condition. Also, how to trade with a little money and gain consistent returns. By following these posts you’ll e able to trade with greater success. You’ll increase your profits and your wealth, of course.

The main secret of Traders’ Secrets is that there shouldn’t be any secret for traders and investors. Rise up your trade by reading these posts, articles, and analyses!

You’ll enjoy every word written here. Moreover, after all, your trading and investing knowledge will be more extensive and effective.

Traders’ Secrets will arm you with those skills, so you’ll never have a losing trade again.

Bull Market – What Everyone Should Know?

A stock bull market means that investment’s price rises over a long period. Investors’ faith in stock prices lead the prices themselves in a self-fulfilling prediction. A bull market means profits for investors who own stocks.

What exactly is a bull market? If you are like me several years ago, you are confused with all these terms, conditions, maths, evaluations, or estimations of the stock market.

May I be honest with you?

The truth is that I know nothing about the stock market when I entered. I was foolish, I know. But my desire to earn, to be investor was something I never have had before. It was like this…

A personal story

A friend of mine had a grandfather. Extremely interesting figure. He came from Italy to the US as a kid. OMG, he was just 12 when he bought a ticket and came with nothing except dreams about fortune. To shorten this story, after several years of struggling he made his first success. He became a clerk in the office of some broker. Step by step, that wonderful man became very rich. People, listen. Very rich!

I wanted the same. ASAP! I asked him for the recipe. Oh, how I would like I never did such a thing! The first lesson was: You know nothing, have to learn a lot. C’mon, man! Give me something else to start. I thought I know everything. I have just finished university. With a diploma in the hands, I thought I know everything possible about anything. Of course, I was wrong.

That blessed man told me I had to learn. How to, where to go? I spoke with some friends. No help. So, I decided to start. I found a broker, put some money (not a lot) on my trading account, and started to find a stock. That was a nightmare! My first trade was totally a disaster! I placed another trade. The result was the same. In two trades I lost everything.

Ok, at least I tried. Then I went back to my friend’s grandfather and asked him to teach me.

“You get your first lesson, my son.”

OK, I understand. I have to go for basic. And I started to learn. You must learn to have a chance to earn.

The bull market was the point where I started. I can’t explain why, but I felt I needed to know what it is.

The term “bull market” indicates a stock market is rising. Of course, every single investor supposes the market to rise. Better say, has a hope it will rise. But having only hope means to stand in the mud. You can slide in a moment and fall. Having my previous experience in the mind, I needed more facts.

Nice from this zoological term

So, I learned that the bull market occurs when the prices rise for 20% or more.

Further, I learned that a bull market systematically produces higher highs and higher lows. A stock bull market happens in a strong economy. Nice again, thanks bulls. But what can drive a stock bull market, that I wanted to know?

And I found (with a little help from my friend) that great revenue, profit, and P/E ratio are the most important.

The revenue should be in line with the economy, meaning revenue should grow by the speed of economic growth. Here is some interesting part. As consumers spend more on goods and services rise the economy will rise. Super!

And I came to the companies profit.

The revenue must generate profit.

But some knowledge defeated me. I thought that great profit is a wonderful thing and it is good when the company can generate more profit from the same revenue money. But it is not so simple.

And the P/E ratio! The stock price is just the amount of money it will cost to buy a share of a company. But stock prices can vary. If the demand for the stock rise, its price will rise too. The P/E ratio estimates the relationship between a stock price and its earnings per share.

I was confused just as you are now, I believe.

In a bull market

In a bull market, you’ll notice powerful demand and limited supply for securities. This means that more investors want to buy securities and less want to sell. What will happen? The stock price will rise, right. Let’s go further! Let’s observe investors’ psychology.

In the stock bull market condition, investors have the hope of earning a profit. They are positive and optimistic. Oh, how I wanted to have that experience. Instead, I was scared to death. I needed more knowledge to sure what I am doing. My first trade was so stressful and, by the way, I wanted to show my older friend that I can learn.

In the periods of the bull market, people have more money.

And they are spending. In turn, it stimulates the economy to grow. My old friend told me something important and let me share that with you.

When it is the bull market, you should buy stocks in the early stage, while they are not too expensive. As the price goes up, just wait for its peaks and sell your stocks. And don’t worry if there are some losses in price. It is temporary. Just invest in more stocks with a higher chance of getting a bigger return.
I am grateful to him for this lesson. But there was one piece of advice that sounded the most important to me: “Play the market like toreador plays his wonderful performance in the arena. Peaceful, with confidence, elegant. Tickling the bull. You have to know where the limits are, don’t get surprised.”

I’ll not. Thank you, my dear mentor.

9th October 2019
How to Defeat the Bear Market?

If you want to know how to defeat the bear market read this post to the end.

By Guy Avtalyon

Who wants to know how to defeat the bear market? Are you scared about the bear market? Yes, you should be scared. A bear market is one of the cruelest events that can happen to investors.
Let’s make clear what the bear market is. A bear market is when the price of stocks falls at least 20% or more from its 52-week high.
It is essential to understand the order of stock market returns, actually the range of return. Investors who do not understand the order may experience lingering effects that will reduce their profits for a lot.

Where the bear market may occur?

In short everywhere. Stocks, bonds, currencies, gold, oil. Literally everywhere where the trade occurs. Of course, when the prices of computers drop we can’t speak about the bear market. We will rather speak about deflation in such a case.

The bear market is brutal and dangerous. It can blot out everything you made in the bull market. The main goal for every investor during the bear market is to keep as much as it is possible the earning and investment.

I hope you know how to survive a bear attack. Do you really know? Did anyone tell this before to you? Well, the best way to survive a bear attack is to pretend you are dead. Just lay down, don’t breathe, don’t move, keep your eyes open to know what is the next bear’s move, but don’t move them. Clear?

Do it all but without panic.

The same comes when the stock market is down during the bear period. Stay calm and don’t panic.

How not to panic when the stock prices are going down?

Just keep in mind that it is the period. Yes, it is a period when the prices are dropping. A slump in investor confidence will indicate the attack of a bear market. You will see them running away as if chased by a pride of hungry lions. They are selling stocks with the speed of light. Oh, how wrong they are! Where they are going when the bear market is full of investing opportunities.

People, there is no need to get panicked.

That’s the natural condition of the market. To paraphrase a famous investor Peter Lynch, if you don’t understand that recessions can occur or the stock market may drop, you are not ready to enter the market, or at least, you will not do well there.

But we’re all on the same ship. There is no reason to panic. You have to know one thing. The market isn’t the Titanic. It will not crash so easily. This boat will correct itself. It will not happen overnight. So you have to be patient and stay calm. Remember how to survive a bear attack? That is exactly how to defeat the bear market.

During the bear market, most stocks will fall. How to stay in stocks in such circumstances? Just count!

Will it be better to have money in a savings account with a zero interest rate? Nope! Even when the price decline, your stocks will give you a better return.

The secret strategy on how to defeat the bear market is to buy and hold. Investing shouldn’t be the last trump card in your hand. You must have more options in your overall financial situation. You can’t defeat the bunch of enemies with one shot.

Except, of course, if you’re Luke Skywalker on the bombing run against the air vent of the Death Star.

How to defeat the bear market?

Buy now! Notice, be greedy when others are afraid. You should buy the stock when everyone else is selling. Evaluate the companies, their historical data, don’t read the news for a while (trust me, I know how journalists can produce breaking news, and highlight the headlines). Just be calm and let it appear. Let the right decision to come to you. The doors will be opened. Enter! Take your position! Ignore the jerks! Don’t listen to them, find your sweet spot. And don’t panic, again!

In the worst-case scenario, which is the most extreme, you can sell all your stocks and put cash to the bank account (to be honest, I don’t think it is smart, but still) or reinvest the money in more stable assets such as short-term bonds. But you have to know, if you sell all your stocks it is capitulation. It is the official term not my opinion about your investing. But if you do so, how will you come back, how will you rebound? You will be lost out. And it will be very hard for you to enter the stock market again.

The best way is to take a defensive strategy. This means to buy the stocks of big, stable companies. They are strong enough to defend your portfolio from the bear market. Their share prices are less sensitive to a bigger decline. For example, food businesses.

A bear market is a feeling about a particular market mood.

The bear market received its name for the behavior by which bears attack their victims. So, just pretend you are dead when the bear market occurs.

8th October 2019
How to Calculate the Fair Value of Your Stock

Fair value points to the genuine value of a stock or other security that is agreed between the two parties, the seller and the buyer. It can be calculated for the assets that are traded, but not for the products that are being liquidated. It can be a challenge to calculate the fair value if there are no obviously visible market prices. The point of this is to define the price or value that is fair for both sides, the seller will not be on the losing side, and the buyer will end with a satisfying price.

For example, a trader Anna sells its stocks to the trader John at $50 per share. The trader John believes he could sell it at $70 per share once he gets them. So, John buys 1,000 shares at the price Anna is setting. It is a fair value because both sides agreed the price and the trade is beneficial for each of them.

How to calculate fair value?

You can do it with comparable information, for example.

Use respectable financial news and find the last closing price for the stock you want to buy. Say, you want to buy 100 shares of some company and the last closing price of their stocks was $30. The fair value of 100 shares would be 100 x 30 = $3,000.

Also, you can calculate the fair value using the discounted cash flows.

For example, you want to examine investment that offers a range of cash flows. And you can’t find anything comparable. So, how to calculate the fair value of the investment?

Let’s say it is an investment of $10,000 and it generates $2,500 cash flow per year. What you have to do is to write down the cash flows for, let’s say, 5 years.

$10,000

1 – $2,500
2 – $2,500
3 – $2,500
4 – $2,500
5 – $2,500

Assume that the rate of return is 6%, and first calculate the discount factor so that you could calculate the discounted cash flows for each year.

For calculation purposes, the percentages need to be transformed into whole numbers. It is done by adding 100 to the number of percents and then dividing that sum by 100, i.e. (100+6)/100=1.06. Now you can calculate the discount factor for each year by rising to power of that year this number, i.e. to the power of 1 for 1st, to power of 2 for 2nd, and so on.

That should look like this:

1.06^1 = 1.06
1.06^2 = 1.12
1.06^3 = 1.19
1.06^4 = 1.26
1.06^5 = 1.34

The next step is to divide every $2,500 cash flow by the discount factor for each of these five years.

$2,500 / 1,06 = $2,359
$2,500 / 1,12 = $2,232
$2,500 / 1.18 = $2,100
$2,500 / 1.26 = $1,984
$2,500 / 1.34 = $1,866

This produces five discounted cash flows of: $2,359, $2,232, $2,119, $1,984, and $1,866.
Add these five numbers to -10,000. That was the initial investment, do you remember? Let’s see the result. The result is 541. This means that using a 6% rate of interest, the fair value of this particular stocks is $541.

Also, you can calculate the fair value for a stock is by using the P/E (price to earnings) ratio.

The formula to calculate the P/E ratio is

the current stock price per share / current earnings per share

What you have to do is to compare P/E ratios among companies from the same industry. For example, if you want to find the fair value for a utility, you have to compare the P/E ratio to other P/E ratios in that industry.

If the company has a high P/E ratio it usually means the company is overvalued. On the other hand, a low P/E ratio shows the company is undervalued. For example, if you hold a stake of shares in a company with a P/E ratio of 4 and the average P/E ratio for other companies in the same industry is 2, you can be sure that your stock is expensive or, in other words, overvalued.

The next thing to do is to modify the stock price to the average P/E ratio. Let’s say the average P/E ratio is 2, and the P/E ratio on your stock is 4. This means the current price is $8 and earnings per share is $2. We know that by following the P/E ratio formula.

Use the P/E calculation to find what the stock price needs to have a P/E ratio of 2.

The equation is

New P/E ratio x Earnings per share

And the answer is 2 x $2 or $4. The fair value for this stock is $4, not $8.

Bottom line

The puzzle of what security is really worth is one of the basic questions in investing. By calculating fair value, you will find the answer, maybe not exactly but you will be very close to it. Although, fair value calculations are essential to any investor’s stock.

Ways to fair value can classify value investors and growth investors.

The growth investors will estimate earnings that can be unstable. On the other hand, value investors will buy stocks at a discount to their fair value. They will wait for the fair value of their investments to rise. But both kinds of investors have to know that their companies can stumble. Also, the company may get significantly bigger which will cause keeping historical growth rates difficult.

The point is to buy stocks that will rise to meet the fair value of the company.

You might find these interesting too:

>>> The Average Daily Trading Volume How to Calculate

>>> Calculate Portfolio Performance

>>> Short Selling For Profit

>>> Lot size in forex – What is it and How to calculate it?

3rd October 2019
Stock Investing – The Pros and Drawbacks

5 min read

by G. Gligorijevic

Stock investing isn’t just buy and sell stocks. It is the whole philosophy and math. Well, you have to learn more about the logic behind the stock market.

When you want to buy a stock, that means someone else has to sell it. Be aware, that someone has worked on the numbers and concluded that the wise move is to get out of the position right now. Do you know why that one decided like that? How to be sure you are doing a good job if you pick that stock?

Stock picking is a struggle against other investors.

Maybe they know just like you, maybe more, maybe less.

The basic formula is easy: Pay a value that’s smaller than the long-term, per-share price of the underlying business. The philosophy of investing is in understanding how to determine that value.

Maybe you prefer to be a “growth” investor. So, your focus should be on the analysis of a company’s potential for future profits. You should choose the one growing fastest. As a growth investor, you are interested in great earnings. The P/E or price-to-earnings ratio is a popular metric for valuing stocks. Growth investors often are willing to pay P/Es of 20 or more.

Value investors usually buy stocks with lower P/E ratios. This appears more traditionally. But buying cheap has some risks. Very often when some stock is cheap it is a sign that the company has some problems. Is this true? No! Simply NOT! There is no easy way or formula that helps you to pick a fabulous stock to deal with. You have to research and make a decision.

But maybe you should invest in funds than individual stocks.

Stock investing demands time and intense analysis. It also needs notable cash to create a fully diversified portfolio. A choice is a mutual fund. That will spread your bets between hundreds of stocks.

Stock investing is attractive and enjoyable for a lot of people. If you want to enter the market on your own, you can use funds as the essence of your portfolio. Later, just set aside a small account for your selection of the individual stocks.

One of the main benefits of investing in the stock market is the chance to grow your money. Over time, the stock market performs a rise in value. Yes, the prices of individual stocks rise and fall daily. But, investments in solid companies that are able to grow, tend to make profits for investors. Moreover, investing in many different stocks will boost your wealth by leveraging growth in different areas of the economy. It will bring you a profit even if some of your individual stocks lose value.

Stock investing gives a lot of benefits to investors.

Owning stocks means to take advantage of a growing economy.
How does it come?
That is a kind of chain of good fortune. Everything is connected and logical.
Assume you want to buy a stock you’ve been examining for some time. And finally, they announce a surprise bit of good news and the price rallies sharply higher and so you jump in.
Let’s say, you have a sudden profit on your hands but, the stock reverses. It has retracted back to your entry price. Actually, it has gone beyond your entry price and you are a loser! You may think that it’s just market games and “shaking out weak hands”. So, you decided to hold on, knowing that patience is a trading power. Finally, you’re down further than you expected to be in the stock.
If you were ultra convinced of the upside potential, you may see this as an opportunity to buy more shares at a better price. On the other hand, you may panic and sell as you continue to watch the price trend further against you.

What happened?

Experts developed the “Efficient Market Hypothesis” which states that stock prices instantly diminish all news. So, there’s no possible way for a trader to profit from news releases. That experts feel that strongly.

Here is one example.

Maybe two years ago, Samsung announced it is expecting profits to hit record levels in the third quarter. And almost three times as much as the same period the year before.
Following the announcement, their share price dropped.
That might seem counter-intuitive. But there are other factors at play. At the same time as announcing this expected profit win, Samsung’s CEO quit. He told that the company was going through an “unprecedented crisis” and that “a new spirit and young leadership” was needed to respond to the challenges. In this case, the decline in stock price can be understood. You know, if the CEO is worried, perhaps investors should be too.

But sometimes share prices drop on good news and it is really hard to understand why.

Market expectations are always priced into the market price. Say, for example, a company has a forecasted earning per share of $1. They’ve never missed an earnings target. So investors expect the firm will actually earn $1.10 per share. They think it’s currently undervalued. The firm then announces an earnings report of $1.05 per share.

Good news, right? They beat their forecast.

But, crucially, because investors thought the firm should earn more than this $1.05 per share, the stock’s price was bid upwards to a price that reflected earnings expectations. Because the real earnings are less than the current market price, the stock price drops as investors sell off their shares.
This effect can be intensified by investors who completely copy what everyone else is doing. In this case, selling off their shares. Every investor must have the bigger picture. That’s the point.

What you have to do?

If the stock is basically strong, hold the stock despite the stock price going down. It won’t matter much in the long term if the company. Most of the great companies focus on their long-term goals. This means that a few times, they might miss the short-term expectations.
But, short-term interests shouldn’t be ignored completely by the company or investors. Nevertheless, if the company is overall performing good in the long run, then there’s no point of worry. In any business, there will be few difficulties in the short run.
Additionally, do not get connected to short-term expectations. Analysts will keep on making expectations every quarter. It’s their job and this is what they are paid for. If a company keeps on working for the short-term goals, it might never be able to focus on long-term growth.
Overall, if the temporary setbacks are not going to affect the long-term profitability of the company, then ignore the short-term fluctuations and hold your stock.

2nd October 2019
Preferred Stock Advantages Explained

Take advantage of owning these stocks, they are paying guaranteed dividends, but the owner doesn’t have the voting rights

By Guy Avtalyon

Preferred stock signifies an ownership stake in some companies. It is like a share of common stock but less volatile.
But there are more advantages to hold preferred stocks. For example, they are prioritized when it comes to dividends or bankruptcy. But by owning this stock you will not have the same voting rights as owner of common stock. Actually, you will not have them.

Preferred stock is similar to bonds. See, with preferred shares, you will have a fixed dividend in continuity. And you can easily calculate the dividend yield. All you have to do is to divide an amount of dividend in the currency by the current price of the stock. Yield is the effective interest rate you earn when you buy a share of the preferred stock.

Let’s do some math.

Assume a preferred stock has an annual dividend of $6 per share and is trading at $120 per share. So, the yield is $6 divided by $120 which is 0.05. Multiply by 100 to turn to the percentage. The yield is 5%.

6/120 = 0.05

0.05 x 100 = 5

This is regularly based on the standard value ere a preferred stock is sold. It’s generally determined as a percentage of the current market price after the trade starts. This is a difference from a common stock. Common stock has variable dividends that are published by the board of directors and it is never guaranteed. Moreover, a lot of companies don’t pay out to common stocks.

The added difference is that this kind of stock has a par value. It is in correlation with the interest rate. If the interest rate increases, the value of preferred stock drops. Also, when the interest rate decreases, the value of this stock will grow. You will not find a similar situation with common stock since its value is determined by supply and demand in the market.

Why buy preferred stock?

Investors frequently buy preferred stock for the income the dividends give. The dividends for them are higher than those issued for common stock. And the other benefit is notable. If the company has to miss out on a dividend it collects, it still must pay preferred stock dividends before any common stock dividends come to the schedule. That is why they carry less risk than common stock. Preferred stock owners must be paid before common stockholders if the company failed or in case of bankruptcy.

When evaluating the investment potential of preferred stock, it is most important to compare the dividend yield to the yields of the company’s bonds. You will find that preferred stocks often work similarly to bonds.
Preferred stock is a good choice for investors who don’t want to take a big risk. Moreover, it is less volatile than common stock and provides a better flow of dividends.

How to buy preferred stock?

The process is the same as you buy any stock. You can use a broker’s service, doesn’t really matter if it is a discount broker or full-service broker. The main point is that the company has to be publicly-traded, of course. But before you start finding a preferred stock to buy, you must know why should you do that. Why don’t you buy that company’s common stock?
When buying common stock, you’re actually buying a part of ownership in the company. You’ll have voting right as one of the co-owners. On the other hand, if you buy a preferred stock you’ll almost never get voting right.

They have regular dividends payments

When you buy preferred stock, you’ll get regular dividends payments. That is opposite from the owner of common stock that doesn’t have guaranteed dividends. Even a case that the company stops to pay dividends, your unpaid dividends are still yours and once, when the company decides to continue these payments, you’ll receive them.
The other advantage of buying preferred stocks is that your investment will be repaid in full even if the company goes bankrupt.
The owner of common stocks will get nothing instead.

One thing more is present here.

Those stocks give more options to investors. Let’s explain this. Numerous preferred shares are callable. This means the issuer can purchase them at any time. Investors have a true chance for these shares to be called back at a redemption rate. It can be a notable bonus over their purchase price. The market for preferred shares usually assumes callbacks and prices may be bid up respectively.

And we must point out one disadvantage again. Its shareholders regularly do not have voting rights as the owners of common stock. It may be a problem for some investors.

30th September 2019
How to Identify Market Trends

6 min read

By Guy Avtalyon

Being able to identify stock market trends is a crucial part of your investments and trading. How many times have you heard that the market is trending? Numerous. But did you have the ability to recognize the signs before the market move in some direction?

So, when we say the market is trending we are talking about market moving in one of two directions. When the market is moving up it is Bullish, but when it moves down it is a Bearish trend. There is some misunderstanding toward trends. Let’s say this way, never fight against market trends. That will take you to losses. Rather catch the flow to manage your risk-reward.

It is so important to have ways to identify market trends. Markets can also move within a ‘range’, and they don’t need to be recognized as Bullish or Bearish, rather they are falling sideways. So, you can see we have three possible market directions. Ability to recognize when a market is probably moving out of a trend will also help you.

Assume you are trading while the market is in a Bullish trend. So your focus would be on buying the position. But suddenly the market starts to change and your edge disappears.

It is absolutely scary when you are looking at those changes at your charts. But there are several things that will provide you to know how to identify market trends.

First, let’s make clear what the trends are you looking at.

This is very important. You have to determine the time frame you are looking at. Why is this so important? Assume you are looking at a daily time frame and the market is in a bullish trend. Suddenly, the market moves up. Where is the problem? Your 10 minutes chart shows the bearish trend! Yes, but you must have a bigger picture. The market may be in bullish trend the whole day but in those 10 minutes, it is bearish because it is falling.

That is the nature of markets. They will never go only up or only down.

That’s why the timeframe you are looking at is very important. Just like in sport. Your favorite basketball team is in permanent progress to the top of the table. In the market, it is a bullish trend. But suddenly, your team has a match against some outsider and they lost the game (which usually happen to my favorite team). That is a bearish trend in the market.
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How to Identify Market Trends

Identifying the trend is essential. But you have to be able to associate that trend with your trading. For example, you recognize a market as bullish on the daily timeframe. What is the possible move? Just wait until it comes back within support levels that you expected to be the span where the buyers will continue the trend. Than start to look at the 1-hour timeframe to buy positions. That is how you may adjust your trades with the market trend.

You can identify market trends by applying different kinds of technical analysis. You can use trendlines and technical indicators. But trendlines are the most effective method of verifying that a trend breathes.

Identifying the trends will help you to avoid wrong buy/sell signals. One thing is important to know, the trending indicator will operate better in trending markets, while oscillators are better in sideways trends. Which one to use may define your success rate.

Recognizing Trends

The trends are an overall direction that a particular financial market is moving. To analyze trend you have to use technical analysis to determine direction. Just connect by using trendline all the highs and lows in your charts.

So, let’s see what kind of trends we have:

Uptrend

The uptrend is when you can inline low points sloping upward. The main characteristic of uptrend is higher highs and higher lows.

Downtrend

Connect a series of chart high points sloping downward, and you will have a downtrend. A downtrend is always defined by lower highs and lower lows.

These graphs are simple images in order to have a clear picture. Trendline should be drawn on the candlestick chart. But in any case, to be able to start a trend line you will need at least two points in the market. You may draw the trendline only when the second swing high or low is identified.

Speaking about the candlestick chart, you will see that the majority of trend lines overlap the high or low of a candle. The point is to get the maximum touches without cutting the body of a candle. If the trend line cut the body of a candle you may be sure it is a violation.

Identifying Market Trends

Draw triangles on market swings.

We already mentioned the market swing points. I am free to say that probably the most obvious way to identify a market trend is to follow them. You can do it by drawing triangles.

We already know that higher highs and higher lows relate to a Bullish trend and lower highs and lower to a Bearish trend. By drawing triangles over important market swings you will spot when this is occurring. This helps also to inform you when the market

It will also keep you alert to when the market finish trending and moves into a range, or the trend goes reverses.

Also, you may use the Bill Williams fractals indicator.

It is an excellent tool to identify market trends. This indicator is helpful to spot the market swings. When the arrows are upward that is the high of the swing, when the arrows pointing downwards it is low of swing.

Upward pointing arrows indicate the high of a swing, downward pointing arrows indicate the low of a swing. This is a simple tool that will show you if the market is in a trend. Moreover in what direction, or if it is in a range.

Moving average as help on how to identify market trends

The moving average is one of the most popular methods to identify market trends. When the market is beyond the level of the moving average, it is Bullish. If under, it is Bearish. But this method has some disadvantages. It depends on the period you are looking at.

One moving average can miss out on great parts of trends so you will end up struggling against the trend. It is always smart to apply two moving averages. One has to be slower the other faster. And, when the faster one is above slower the market is bullish when it is below the market is bearish.

Use trend lines

That’s why we had to explain the trend lines. Trend lines are a great tool to identify a market trend. Also, they will highlight potential trading zones inside the trend. The market is in trend when it respects the trend line.

When the market breaks the trend line it is moving out of the trend into a range, or into a trend reversal.

Bottom line

Markets consist of many different varieties of trends. How to identify market trends will principally define the success or downfall of your investing. No matter if you are a long or short-term investor.

27th September 2019
BTC Price Will Surge Again

2 min read

Yes, the Bitcoin prices displaying a massive drop on Tuesday. Well, there is good news too. Crypto investors continue bullish! So the BTC price will surge again.

As BTC recorded a huge fall and fell about 13%, investors and traders persist optimistically. They expect the bull market to recover quickly.

Bitcoin price made a sharp drop yesterday (September 25) falling almost 16%. The daily open was at $9,691 but recorded a new low at $8,164. The price support was broken at $9,090 leaving the area that it has been trading in since June.

In doing so, price broke strong support at $9,090 and exited the area that it has been trading in since June. Bitcoin’s price action continues bearish under this scope.

But nothing is finished. Today’s chart (at the time of writing) shows some uptrend. A small one but still.

The larger picture reveals regular price action with prior corrections.

You wouldn’t like to miss this: MONETIZING BITCOIN

Traders-Paradise wrote about the second-largest German exchange in Stuttgart which started Bitcoin trading. Also, Bakkt starts and SoFi, a finance management firm is launching a crypto trading platform.

Are people still micro wise? Well, not all thankfully. BTC price will surge again.

The BTC/USD pair is trading at the $8,407 after hitting a low at $8,125. In the past two days, the price has passed below the SMA200. Dangerous? Yes, but the typical race for Bitcoin. For unexperienced in Bitcoin, the bullish momentum will continue as long as the daily close is above the long term average. The indicator stays on the bullish side of the indicator. You can check it.

BTC/USD needs strong support levels, instead, it may fall even more since BTC/USD had another heavily bearish day on Wednesday. The disturbing element is that the daily confluence indicator doesn’t show any support levels until $8,100.

But even if it goes lower its still a good entry for longs. It is expected the volume further fails on a macro scale. But the price may consolidate if the trading starts again.

Bitcoin’s price is a distraction from the value. Everyone was yelling about Bitcoin’s drop past two days. What is about today? It has recovered.

Don’t judge based on hash rate data. It is an estimation. It isn’t exactness. Until traders start to trade it again the price of Bitcoin may stay on the low level. The point is, Bitcoin may drop slightly more in the next few weeks, with frequent ups and downs but to the end of the year, it may surge again, and more than anyone can expect. That’s the nature of Bitcoin and the beauty of the game

26th September 2019
Trailing Stop Loss Definition and Examples

3 min read

The trailing stop loss may be practiced with stock, options, and futures exchanges that support regular stop-loss orders. It is a variety of stop-loss order. A trailing stop-loss order is executed when the price of the trading asset drops by the trailing value which can be expressed in percentage or currency amount.

For example, you might place a trailing stop order to sell your stock with a trailing stop loss of 4%. When the stock dropped 4% from its nearest high the trailing stop order will be executed.

For example, assume that ABC stock is in its uptrend and hits $100 per share. If you placed a trailing stop loss of 4% it would be triggered when the price drops to $96 or below. Hence, your trailing stop loss at 96%, the sell order at $96 would be a market order. Instead, you can set a trailing stop limit which would provide you to gain a specified price placed in advance.

Also, instead of placing percentages you may enter a trailing stop loss in currency. It is more favorable. Let’s do some math.

Let’s say, ABC shares increase to $120, a $4 trailing stop would trigger at $116, which is a 3,3 % drop. If you entered a 4% trailing stop, it wouldn’t trigger until the shares fell 4% to $115.
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The mistakes about using a trailing stop

A typical mistake is to set a trailing stop too close to the current price. For example, 1% or 2% trailing stop loss. Most stock prices are changing by at least a few cents per minute. If you set the trailing stop loss too tied to the entry it will be stopped out before any significant price moves occurred.

The best way is to set a trailing stop distance enough from the current price. If you keep in mind that that the market regularly fluctuates inside a 10 cent span, you would like to set it a bit far from that amount. But be aware, if you set it more from that range because it could happen that you never reach the placed point. The consequence is that the trailing stop could be invalidated and never executed.

The point of using the trailing stop loss is to get you out of the trade if there is a high possibility of the price changing and destroying your profit on your trade.

Trailing stops are useful because they secure in profit when the price moves in our beneficial. The disadvantage is that sometimes they get us out of a trade when the price isn’t really changing, but simply pulling back a little. A good option to a trailing stop loss is to apply a profit target, have that in your mind.

How to move a trailing stop loss

It is easy to find a lot of brokers that provide this type of orders. It’s up to you to choose how much space you want to in your trade. Think twice would you like to set it in percentages or currencies (you have both examples above). When you confirm the order it will move as the market moves because that is the nature of trailing stops: to move as the prices move. You can set it automatically or manually.

Bottom line

Traders use different systems to improve their profits and diminish the losses. One of these methods is the trailing stop order. It allows you to define the circumstances that will trigger an order to exit your position. It safeguards your trade against unexpected downturns.

No matter if you are trading stocks, bonds or whatever, you must have a solid exit strategy. Moreover, you must have it before you buy the position. We already wrote about emotional trading. A good exit strategy will allow you to diminish fears. Let’s say your exit strategy is to wait for the price of your stocks to drop by 15%. You’ll be able to avoid trading in a panic if your stocks drop by 10%. That is the main purpose of applying a trailing stops and other stop-loss orders, to give you a plan to realize your exit strategy.

Don’t miss this: Trading With Success – A FULL guide for beginners

25th September 2019
Negative Balance Protection

4 min read

by G. Gligorijevic

Negative balance protection signifies that you will not lose more than your deposited money. Or to put it simply, you won’t owe money to your broker. Sounds great, indeed. You will not end up with a cash debt on your account.

At first glance, this looks like a great thing. For example in spread betting, that lets traders take leveraged short-term bets on stocks could end in tremendous losses.

Here is one example.

Assume you put $10,000 to your account and want to buy stock. Let’s say the leverage is 5:1 which would provide you a position of $50,000. But, the market is really volatile those days and the price of your stock drops, for example, 8%. Remember, your leverage is 5:1, so this drop would make you a loss of 40%. It is $20,000 of lost. This lost would destroy your deposit of $10,000 and you have to pay back to your broker what you owe. Yes, this is an unpleasant situation but if you are trading with a broker who lets you negative balance protection, your loss would be exactly the amount you deposited, $10,000. Nothing more, nothing less.

It is a great thing for traders.

Negative balance protection is a proposal that brokers practice in order to protect their customers. This method guarantees that traders will not lose more than their deposit is if their account moves into negative as a result of their trading activity. This is a great reason to choose the broker that provides it. You will not owe the money to your broker if you made the wrong trading choice.

Yes, the brokers always have a margin call to protect. The truth is that this option isn’t the best choice when the market’s shift quickly and the stock prices are in high-speed movements. If the price moves too fast and moves beyond your margin call out level you may lose more than it is expected.

Negative balance protection in Forex

It protects your account balance never to falls under zero. How is possible for your Forex trading account to go under zero?

Don”t be worried. Your broker has protection, in the first place it is margin call. But, the same occurs as it is with stocks. When some incredible drastic move happens in the currency markets, your broker may not be able to close your trade immediately. Also, your stop-loss order will not be executed due to the high speed of the market movement.

Therefore, the price may run beyond your stop loss or margin call close out level. That may cause a larger loss that exceeds the size of your account balance. So, you would have a negative balance.

This is where negative balance protection comes to the scene. The broker can overlook or forgive your negative balance and lets your account to begin from zero again.

Why traders need this?

Forex and CFD markets are volatile. That makes traders unprotected in sudden price movements and gaps. When extreme price movements happen in open trade, this may have an important influence on the value of your open positions. It is particularly dangerous when your position is highly leveraged.

If you hold a leveraged long position, you would lose more than your initial deposit. And as I said before, this would put you in a position where you would have to pay your debt back to your broker.

Negative balance protection resets your account balances to zero.

Is there anything bad?

In short, yes.
When you enter the market you are dealing with some unresponsible people who don’t pay attention to the risk involved because their goal is to beat the market. Sic!
When you set negative balance protection heaven isn’t the limit. This safety net wouldn’t let you take additional risks just because you have the belief that you can make easy money. Stay in the safe zone, it is smarter and better for your trading account.
Also, if you put negative balance protection, you have to pay increased margin rates.

The history of negative balance protection

It grew more prominent after the Swiss franc crisis in 2011. That was when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) closed holding its currency against the EUR at a fixed currency rate. The Swiss franc rapidly soared against the EUR. The consequence was that numerous traders shorting the franc ended up with enormous negative balances losing more than they had deposited on their account.
The Swiss market had great losses and many traders ended up with the fear that their brokers would ask to get paid to cover their losses.
The brokers that provide the leverage are obliged to apply for negative balance protection on a per-account basis, thanks to ESMA regulation for the EU.

24th September 2019
How Often to Check The Investments?

2 min read

by Guy Avtalyon

Your investments should certainly be periodically checked but not every day. Even though it is your money invested. You have a bigger chance to lose money if you check your investments every single day.

How?

Well, you know that the price changes occur very frequently due to the stock market volatility. The stock price can rise and drops hourly. Watching that, you may feel a bit more nervous about your investments and provoke you to sell instead to hold and wait for the price to increase. Also, you have to know that daily fluctuation in stock prices does not influence your investments. The most important is how your stocks perform in a bigger time frame.

If you check your investment too frequently, you will end up acting irrationally to market movements and sell your stock at a low price.

Yes, I know, our investments may give us the impression that we will never end up with sufficient money. You have to know how often to check your investments so that you don’t destroy them.

For new investors, quick gains can cause investing to look impressive. It is normal to check your investment every night. I can understand that. I know some investors are checking several times a day. If you need to be worried about your investment it is a sign you made the wrong choice.

If your portfolio loses just a bit in a few days or weeks there is no reason to panic. The statistic shows that fresh investors usually put money in mutual funds or ETFs because they are afraid to invest in more volatile stocks and they avoid them. The truth is that holding stocks requires more attention, time to track them, and knowledge.

But you can’t have only mutual funds or ETFs in your portfolio and check them once a year. You would like to have stocks as well. And a lot of things will be changed.

So, how often to check the investments?

With stocks, things are pretty different. You have to check them at least once a week to notice if something, some event, for example, influences your investment.

If you are holding or trading individual stocks, try to check them quarterly. OK, maybe monthly if you are so nervous. It is reasonable to check your investments from time to time. But too much checking can make you panic and sell at a lower price. And you will start that chain. That frequently checking will cause trading, fast trading will cause over-selling, over-selling will produce more fees and costs. Also, if you have too much trades you will have low returns.

It is smart to pick a good investment strategy and stay with it. Check the progress of your investment quarterly and check the price, for example, monthly.

With mutual funds and ETFs, you have wide diversification, so once a year is enough.

With stocks, check it out by online approval or in the paper version. Most of the financial websites such as Yahoo Finance and some others offer stock research data. Also, your broker has quotes available.

How often to check your investments? Less is better. You are investor, investing is a marathon, it is for a long run. Make a reasonable plan, according to your risk tolerance, be patient. Rebalance your investments once a year and let your money work for you.

23rd September 2019