Tag: dividends

  • Defensive Stocks Are Excellent Investment But…

    Defensive Stocks Are Excellent Investment But…

    Defensive Stocks Are Excellent Investment But...
    Defensive stocks provide dividends and stable earnings but the low volatility may cause fewer gains during bull markets.

    By Guy Avtalyon

    Several days ago, the website U.S.News posted an article about defensive stocks. As always, great and concrete suggestions.  You can find their suggestions with an explanation of why the proposed defensive stocks are best picks for this June.
    Here is one quotation about these stocks.

    “More conservative investors who value both capital appreciation and preservation of capital might look to these stocks.” was written The U.S. News. 

    This might mean this kind of stock is less risky than most of the stocks in the market.

    Further, in the same article, you’ll find a short description of what criteria investors should use when picking defensive stocks. For example, market capitalizations should be above $50 billion, such companies should have at least a 10-year track of continuous paying dividends, etc. All is followed by the list of these stocks that look like the best choice for June this year.

    That simply imposed the topic, what are these stocks. Why buy them? How to choose? Where to look for them? 

    What are defensive stocks?

    A long time ago it would be very easy to answer. You could be easily trapped listening to some financial experts saying how defensive stocks are boring investments. Moreover, you could hear they are too conservative. It might be true, even today. These stocks come into utilities, healthcare, and staples sectors. Well, one could think: Yeah, these sectors are not excited, not at all, so why should I invest there. We would like to ask you something. Would you like to invest in some company that generates steady cash flow, pays dividends regularly? Yes? We didn’t expect any other answer.  Would you be surprised if we tell you that, for example, tobacco companies were viewed as defensive stocks?

    But recently, investors changed their views of what these stocks are. Today, you can see that some technology companies are considered defensive stocks. Even if the definition is changed, the purpose isn’t, these stocks still have to play well during the recession. Nevertheless, these stocks have, as it always was, to provide stable earnings and regular dividends no matter what condition is the overall market. Period! 

    Are the defensive stocks less risky?

    Since there is a constant demand for such companies’ products, these stocks seem much more steady and strong during many different aspects of the business cycle.

    And here is the confusing part for some investors, especially if they are beginners. They aren’t the same as defense stocks. Do you know what we mean? Defense stocks are stocks of the companies that are producing munition, guns, war jets, etc.

    Nowadays, companies with stable earnings growth, but also with innovative goods, pricing strength, are recognized as defensive stocks. Don’t be surprised if they can stir the waters. If we consider cash flow and the company’s power, nowadays Alphabet could be such a company, for example. 

    How to recognize defensive stocks

    When uncertain time in the market comes everyone would like to protect the investment portfolio, the capital invested. Especially if it is connected to high volatility. Investors are looking for stable investments during such rough times. They would like, for sure, to increase their exposure to these stocks. For example, giants like Coca-Cola are recognized as defensive stocks. Non-cyclical stocks are recognized as defensive stocks also.

    These companies have stable performances and the ability to overcome weak economic circumstances. They are also paying dividends. That might be a good reason to choose them primarily because dividends can mitigate the influence of the stock’s price dropping. These companies will rarely go bankrupt during the market downturn.

    When things in the stock market get insecure, why would you like to own any stock? Honestly, you could find more safe places out there to invest in. The answer is profit. Defensive stocks provide a higher dividend yield than you can get with safe-havens. For example, Treasury bills will never provide you such an amount in interest rate. Moreover, defensive stocks mitigate investors’ fears because they aren’t as risky as other stocks. Take a look at what investment managers do when uncertain economic times come. They are moving to defensive stocks.

    Better isn’t always the best

    Defensive stocks are better performers than the overall market during recessions, for example. But nothing is so perfect even these stocks. Due to their low beta, when everything is blooming in the market, they could perform below the market. Less risk, less profit, that’s it.

    For example, suppose a stock has a beta of 0,5 and the market falls for 2% in one week. Not a big deal, you’ll lose 1% of your investment. But what if we have the opposite situation and the price increases 2% in one week? Well, the defensive stock with a beta of 0,5 will increase by only 1%.

    Beta shows the stock’s vulnerability or risk. Defensive stocks have beta under 1 which means they are less volatile. A conservative investor, who is, by default, with less risk-tolerance type, will choose defensive stocks that will deliver stable returns.

    Advantages and disadvantages of Defensive stocks

    They are often suitable for long-term investors because they are less risky than other stocks. These stocks together have a higher Sharpe ratio than the entire stock market. With less risk involved, you could beat the market. What else we need to understand is that defensive stocks are better investment choices than other stocks. 

    But there are some disadvantages also.

    The low volatility of these stocks is one of them. This means smaller gains when the market is bullish. That could be the reason why some investors if not many, don’t like defensive stocks. These stocks usually cannot outperform the market in such a period. So, when investors need them most to profit more, they could betray them. There is one interesting thing about defensive stocks. When the market downturn is finished, some investors move to these stocks, but the truth is they had to do that earlier. After the market downturn is too late. The only thing that investors could catch is a lower rate of return. Think ahead of these stocks.

    Why should you choose to invest in them?

    For example, you don’t have a decent knowledge of the market condition. Also, if you are the risk-averse type of investor. Seeking for dividend-paying stocks is one of the reasons because these stocks provide regular dividends. Additionally, defensive stocks are a great choice when the markets are volatile. 

    These stocks managed to perform well even during the recessions. There are some goods that people will always need no matter what the economic situation is. For example, electricity, soap, or gas, everyone would need gas or soap even if the apocalypse is coming.

    To summarize, defensive stocks have beta lower than 1, they are less volatile, they provide regular dividends. The main drawback is that they usually couldn’t generate high returns. But during the recession, they are excellent as protection for your other investments. Beta indicates the stock’s vulnerability or risk factor. This kind of stock has beta lesser than 1 which implies that they are less volatile. A conservative investor who is afraid of taking risks can invest in defensive stocks that will give stable returns.
    These stocks are also recognized as non-cyclical stocks because they are not deeply associated with the business cycle. Here are a few types of defensive stocks. Such stocks are utilities, consumer staples, healthcare, gas, electricity, pharmaceuticals.

  • Stock Buyback: How Does It Impact investors?

    Stock Buyback: How Does It Impact investors?

    Stock Buyback: How Does It Impact Investors?
    A stock buyback decision may send a questionable signal to investors. Not all buybacks will show the management’s opinion that the stocks are undervalued. 

    By Guy Avtalyon

    A stock buyback or a stock repurchase refers to a situation when a company buys its outstanding shares. The reason is simple, they want to decrease the number of available stocks on the market. Did you know this practice was illegal in the past? Oh, yes! It was illegal because it was seen as a type of stock manipulation. Today, a stock buyback is legal, of course. 

    When a company buys its stocks it can cancel them or hold them for re-issue later. To perform a buyback, a company can get its stocks in the market like any other investor. Also, there are two other ways to do so. The company may announce a proportional offer and buy equivalent parts from its shareholders. The other way is a tender offer. This means the company invites its shareholders to sell stocks by buying back a fixed number of its stocks at a specified price. 

    Tender offers are made publicly. The company invites shareholders to sell their stocks at a specified price and usually, they have a defined time frame to do that. The price specified is often at a premium to the market price. It can be conditional upon a minimum or a maximum number of sold shares. 

    The law demands public companies to buyback stocks from funds generated from profits or the gains of a current issue of stocks.

    Buyback can be offered over a specific period. For example, a company announces its plan to buy back $70 million worth shares in the next 3 years.

    What are the reasons behind a stock buyback 

    A stock buyback enables the company to invest in itself. When a company buys back its stocks it actually reduces the number of shares outstanding on the market. But at the same time, this increases the proportion of shares held by investors. A stock buyback is a business action. For example, the company sees its stock is undervalued, so it makes a buyback. This action is usually aimed to provide investors with a return. Such a company is bullish on its operations at that time, and stock buyback can significantly increase the earnings gained from shares allocation. The point is that the stock price will rise only if the P/E ratio is sustained. Also, when the company reduces the number of shares outstanding, it makes them worthier. That is the way to increase the stock’s EPS, stock price, and decrease the P/E ratio.

    A stock buyback shows to investors that the company has enough cash deposited aside for unpredictable difficulties and a low chance of financial problems. 

    Also, a company can do that for the purpose of compensation when it wants to award employees or management with stock and stock options. That’s also the reason behind stock buyback, to avoid the dilution of existing stockholders.

    How stock buyback is carried out?

    The company may present to its shareholders a tender offer. Shareholders have an opportunity to tender all their shares or part, a portion of them. The company limits the time for that. The price of a stock is at a premium price or the current market price. The premium price is compensation for stockholders that are willing more to offer their stocks, rather than hold them.

    The company may buyback stocks on the open market, also. Some have buyback programs and from time to time you can see their offers. The share buybacks have a stimulative effect. Companies have more cash on hand to pay their debts or to provide cash for further operations. Also, some companies can extend share buybacks, which leads to a faster reduction of their shares float. Increasing the company’s important financial ratios also can be one of the reasons as much as undervaluation or ownership consolidation. For example, large, expanded buybacks may affect the share price to go up. 

    Generally speaking, buybacks are a sign of a company’s capacity to return value to its shareholders. One historical data is interesting. The companies that practice regular buybacks have outperformed the wide market.

    The influence on investors

    To the investors that own stock in the company that is doing buybacks, the stock buyback will boost the value per share. This action will give them more money and fast. But to really have any benefit from the company’s stock buyback you must hold enough stock. Otherwise, the buyback will not affect you significantly. To be honest, the greatest portion of the stock holds a small group of investors and they will have greater benefits from this gain.

    That’s true, but also the truth is that the wealthiest 10% of investors hold 80% while almost 80% of shareholders hold just little as 8% of all stock shares.

    A stock buyback isn’t cheap. Companies are spending a lot of money to exercise the buybacks. Some investors think that using extra cash for buying their shares in the open market is quite in contrast to what the companies have to do. They think they should reinvest that extra cash to support growth, to develop the company and provide more jobs or to expand the existing capacity.

    Moreover, some investors claim that stock buybacks are synthetically pushing the per-share price higher. Also, they argue that this move is beneficial for management only. It isn’t secret that management’s capital is connected to stock ownership in their company.

    The conclusion is – the stock buyback can drive the per-share price higher and the stock may look more attractive. The company will have the same earnings but the number of shares outstanding will be reduced.

    Lately, companies like this practice, since the stock buyback is one way more to return value to shareholders. The others are dividends.

    Buybacks vs dividends?

    Both offers are all about how to return funds to investors. But which of these two programs investors like more? In case the financial markets are ideal, in the meaning of perfection, it shouldn’t matter.

    For example, ABC company has one million shares in issue and excess cash of $2 million which it wants to distribute to investors. After this distribution, this ABC company expects profits of $1 million yearly and also expects a P/E ratio to be 8 times. So, this company can distribute this $2 million as a dividend of $2 per share or as a tender offer of 200,000 shares at $10 per share.

    No matter which distribution they choose the total market value will be the same. Whichever method they choose the risks will be the same. But let’s do some math. So, we have to multiply the total market value by the P/E ratio.

    In our example, it is:

    total market value = $1 million x 8 = $8 million

    But what we have here is if the company prefers to pay dividends, there will be a million shares in issue. Under the buyback, there will be 800,000 shares in issue. So, the value per share will be $8 (simple math: $8million/1 million) under the dividend option and $10 ($8 million/800,000) under the buyback option.

    Let’s examine a case of a shareholder that holds 5.000 shares in both the dividend and the buyback situation. Such has a choice to hold or sell the shares.

    As you can see this is the same for investors. Under both dividend and buyback options, shareholder’s wealth remains the same.
    For dividend options, the shareholder has 5.000 shares worth $8 each plus $2 dividend per share. Which makes $50.000. While under the stock buyback option a shareholder will receive $10 per share, which is $50.000 also. Thus, for a shareholder both options are equally beneficial.
    The above case is accurate only if the financial markets are perfect. But in the real world, they are not. So, shareholders may prefer buybacks.

  • International Paper Company Could Be Great Stock In 2020

    International Paper Company Could Be Great Stock In 2020

    International Paper (IP) Could Be Great Stock In 2020

    International Paper Company is quite capable of surprise, it is undervalued due to its EPS growth, but dividends are steady
    Market Cap: $17.7 billion
    Yield: 4.5%
    Revenue: $22.8 billion

    International Paper Company (IP) is a producer of packaging, paper, and pulp, based on fiber. You might think how a paper producer can be a good choice for investing in when everything around us is already digitized, who and why would need paper. Well, that is true, but only this part about digitalization. The usage of paper isn’t dead and the paper isn’t going to lose the battle in the digital era. Okay, we are ordering things online but do they come to our doors? Packed in one of International Paper’s products. Or from some other producer, of course, but we are talking about IP now.

    Not to be forgotten, some news appears that IP is about to go ex-dividend on November 14. So, you have to buy their shares before that date to receive the dividend. It will be paid on December 16.

    International paper dividend

    The company’s next dividend payment to shareholders will be $0.5 per share. That is less than the last year when they paid $2.1. If we take a look at payments from the past year, the company has a trailing yield of about 4.4% on the share price of $46.21. 

     

    Some data is very important when you have to decide to buy or not some stock because of its dividend

    The International Paper paid out 58% of its profit to shareholders last year. Nothing strange with that payout,  it is a regular level for most companies. But take a look at its cash flow since it is more valuable than profits when estimating a dividend. Well, IP did it well last year, it paid 35% of free cash flow. It’s good to see that the dividend is well covered, so the dividend is sustainable. Of course, it will be until earnings drop sharply.

    Is it a good dividend stock? 

    International Paper shareholders have seen a support expansion from the money managers in the past several months. After the second quarter of this year, about 30 hedge funds held IP in their portfolios. But the surprising thing is that IP stock isn’t amongst the 30 most popular. That has to be noticed.

    This company is paying dividends over 10 years now. For long-term investors, the companies that are paying dividends can be worthwhile.  International Paper Company is yielding 4.8% so for some investors it is a good opportunity if they want to buy the stock because of it.  The company has significant debts, so you will need to check its balance sheet to see if there is any debt risks.
    International Paper has a net debt of 2.61 times its EBITDA. Yes, debts are good to stimulate business growth but can boost the risks. During the last 10 years, the IP dividend has been constant. That is a sign that the company had a consistent earnings dynamic. 

    International Paper Company paid $1,00 per share in 2019, last year it paid $2,00 which is a CAGR of about 7.2% a year. This is very worthy over the long term investors if the rate of growth can be kept or increased. Also, IP would have a better result if earnings per share could grow too. Instead, the company’s EPS are flat over the past 5 years. 

    Bottom line

    When we want to buy a dividend stock, we want to know will the dividend grow, is the company is capable to support it in different economic conditions and is the dividend payout is sustainable. International Paper company’s dividend payments look fully covered. Moreover, International Paper appears like a great chance. It could be a good fit.

  • Should you buy a stock because of its dividend?

    Should you buy a stock because of its dividend?

    3 min read

    Should you buy a stock because of its dividend?

    Never buy a stock because of its dividend. A dividend shouldn’t be a reason to invest in a poor business. Most important is the performance of the business. That will drive a stock’s return and the company will be able to pay a dividend. So, you must pay attention to the business as a whole, the company’s plans, its goals, even to management and how they treat their employees. 

    Dividend stocks are recognized as safe investments, that is true. They are the highest valued companies. They have grown their dividends during the past 20 years and these are usually held as safe businesses. 

    But, just because a firm is providing dividends doesn’t mean it is a trustworthy investment. You have to learn how to avoid pitfalls that may arise, at first glance, with good dividends.

    Executives can use the dividends to pacify nervous and fidgety investors when the stock price isn’t running as they are expecting. You must know how the management is handling the dividends in a company’s strategy, for example. If you notice a lack of growth, stay away. Such a business isn’t good to invest in, even if it provides good dividends.

    Do you know what has happened in 2008?

    A great stock’s dividend yields were forced to unnaturally high levels due to stock price drops. The dividend yields seemed fascinating, but as the economic crisis developed, the profits fell. That caused the numerous dividend plans to be canceled entirely. The best example is the banks’ stocks in 2008. 

    They were paying great dividends but whenever dividend is paid the stock value instantly falls by an equal amount. That’s the point. And you may ask if the bankers knew that? Of course, they did. 

    Let me explain you something.

     buy a stock because of its dividend

    Very often, the chief purpose why some company pays dividends is because the executives can’t discover some solid growth possibilities within their own company to invest its earned profits in. 

    Hence, the company allows extra earnings to stockholders by paying dividends. But this is good, you may say. Yes, but…

    When a company gives a dividend equivalent to its profits, that is a sign that they are not able to find investment opportunity within their own business that would give greater return. If such a company stays for a long time in a similar situation, the growth will be slow. And at some point in time, they will stop paying dividends and the stock price will decrease to worthless.

    That’s the secret. So when you ask yourself should you buy a stock because of its dividend, be careful and have a bigger picture in mind.

    You should buy a stock because the company is paying attention to the development, research, infrastructure… Things that will increase your profit as the stock price is going up. 

    Now, can you answer me, should you buy a stock just because of its dividend?

    Of course not.

    Moreover, dividend-yielding stocks are taxable income.

    A dividend is a delivery of a part of a company’s earnings to stockholders. It can be done in cash, stocks, or other assets. It is a bonus to investors.

    Yes, many investors see dividends as the main point of stock holding. They want to hold the stock long-term and the dividends are an addon to income. Nothing is problematic in that. But buying a stock just because of dividend is very wrong.

    Dividends are an indication that the company is doing well, dividends are not bad. It has profits to share, more cash than it demands and it can give it to its stockholders. And a stock’s price may rise quickly after a dividend is paid.

    And there is a catch, on the ex-dividend day, the stock’s value will surely drop. The value of the stock will drop by a sum almost the same to the amount paid in dividends. 

    When you want to buy some stock do it because you believe in business or you think the value will rise. Don’t do it only because of a dividend.

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