Tag: history

  • Are we witnesses of the historical period on the stock market?

    Are we witnesses of the historical period on the stock market?

    1 min read

    What are basic types of Forex trading? 1

    Is this really the historical period on the stock market?

    Longest Bull Market in History? 

    Media reports that the US stock market broke the record for longevity on August 22, 2018. And some portals were ecstatic with this information and published articles about this ”historical record”.

    This would be quite a success if it is true. But, many experts claim it is not.

    The true fact is that the longest run belongs to the 12 1/2-year periods running from October 1987 through March 2000. The present bull market started in 2009, will need to wait till 2021 to beat that record.

    According to some media and experts, bull markets are rallies that go beyond 20 percent and are never interrupted by a 20 percent fall. By the rules of Wall Street, that means the S&P 500 rally that began in March 2009 will surpass all that went before it on Wednesday.

    Historical period on the stock market?

    ”It may be peaking”, said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold Group.

    Here’s the problem: the rules aren’t made from stone. They’re not laws and even they are, people make them. So, that means the rules are not perfect and they are changeable. The 20 percent threshold people understand as arbitrary, false, an creation, fake. Experts disagree on everything and that’s good.

    “If you round the data, you’re going to get a certain number of bull markets. If you don’t round, you’re going to get a different number,” Justin Walters, co-founder of Bespoke Investment Group LLC, said by phone. “If you want to do that, that’s fine, but it’s not using the standard 20 percent definition.”

    If you want to start a fight on Wall Street just ask how old the current bull market will be on Wednesday.

    “Hold the champagne! This is not the longest bull market on record or since WWII as the current buzz on the Street would have you believe,” wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, in his blog post.
    As Hirsch’s post shows, that calculation doesn’t sit well with some analysts, though not always for the same cause.

    For instance, Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA, noted objections that argue the current bull would have to run until April 3, 2021, to claim the crown. In this case, the rub doesn’t have to do with dating the start of the bull market back to March 2009. Instead, it hinges on the contention that the 1990s bull market actually ran longer than it is widely credited.

    What is historical here?

    ”Using Ned Davis rules the longest bull began on October 11, 1990, and ran for 2836 calendar days until July 17, 1998. The current bull that began on February 11, 2016, would have to run until November 17, 2023, to beat it.” wrote Hirsch.

    So what conclusion we can have if this bull may be younger than we think?

    What we should focus on is performance. If we take this is indeed the longest bull market in history, let’s focus on returns. Through that point of view, the current bull market has returned just over 320 percent, while the bull market of the 1990s gained nearly 420 percent. To break that record would really be an achievement worth celebrating.

    It is impossible to prevent anyone from celebrating or drink champagne, but do it when you have the real reason based on irrefutable facts.

    Till then: Markets go up, markets go down.

    Risk Disclosure (read carefully!)

  • Investing or trading Bitcoin? What Is The Difference?

    Investing or trading Bitcoin? What Is The Difference?

    Investing or trading Bitcoin, this choice should depend on the knowledge of Bitcoin and the available property.

    2 min read


    The nature of Bitcoin is extremely volatile and the price can dramatically drop in the span of a few hours.
    Truly roller coaster!

    Because of that, the majority of traders give up after a few months or after the first market crash.

    Each time the Bitcoin bubble creates a hype that puts Bitcoin at the front pages of news, the media becomes more interested.

    Then the price keeps on rising and investors become millionaires. That’s until the bubble crashes and the circle starts all over again.

    That doesn’t mean you cannot get your hands on Bitcoin and own at least a bit of what is believed to be the future of currency. What you do have to understand is the difference between investing and trading Bitcoin.

    One of the greatest advantages of Bitcoin is its decentralized nature, which doesn’t require a  central authority or a middleman to be involved. Therefore, you can send money to anyone living around the world, eliminating banks. Most importantly,  you don’t have to pay extraordinary fees or wait days for the money to arrive at your bank account – it takes minutes.

    All the transactions that have ever happened are recorded in the so-called public ledger. The ledger is based on blockchain technology and allows anyone who’s a member of the Bitcoin network to access the records and see every user’s history.

    Thus, nobody can cheat, steal money or double-spend them.

    If there was anything suspicious happening, the entire network would be notified.

    Bitcoin is exciting and magnificent and unique due to the technology behind it and the idea of being free from governmental control.

    But before you decide to jump into investing or trading Bitcoin, there are few more things you have to know about its nature.

    Bitcoin isn’t a fiat currency, hence its price isn’t directly related to the economy or policies of a single country. It has a difficult history of ups and downs, many of them related to worldwide events.

    BTC will never disappoint when it comes to delivering exhilarating shivers down your spine.

    If you want to, you can spend all day long tracking different exchanges and trading.
    It is a roller coaster!!!

    Bitcoin is well-known for its rapid and frequent price movements, sometimes even throughout a day. For traders, it’s yet another exciting opportunity to gather quick profits.

    There is no official Bitcoin exchange, hence there is no official Bitcoin price. Bitcoin exchanges operate around the clock.

    Trading vs Investing Bitcoin

    Is It Better to invest or trade Bitcoin?

    This choice should depend on the knowledge of Bitcoin and the available property.

    Investing in Bitcoin can start from a small amount which can be increased with time and experience.
    It’s a long-term project, which might lead to accumulating a large amount of money.

    Trading should be reserved for those who know the Bitcoin nature in-depth and aren’t afraid of losing.
    The constant fluctuation of Bitcoin can be an exciting experience for any trader. On the other hand, it can scare away those who do not know how to deal with or handle it.

    In other words, the difference between investing and trading Bitcoin lays not only in the technicalities of it but also in somebody’s character and temperament.
    A lot of beginners are deceived with an idea of how much they can make from trading Bitcoin. It surely is a more dynamic environment and rates are changing quicker than in a traditional stock exchange, but that only indicates an even higher risk. The fluctuations in the value of a conventional currency can be measured in a fraction of a penny. Bitcoin prices, on the other hand, rise and fall dramatically throughout one day. 

    This isn’t advice, just notice to you who want to start trading or investing, doesn’t matter. You would never start with all of your capital. You would rather build the experience and understand the market properly.

    Investors can wait through the knockdowns and have the resources to postpone the bad impact.
    Traders, however, are often compared to professional gamblers – they have to act quickly and know when is the right time to leave the game.

    What else you have to know about trading and investing Bitcoin?

    You should never keep all your eggs in one basket.

    What does it mean? But don’t be mislead that the most secure option is to store your Bitcoins on some exchanges wallet.

    Why is that? If you’re thinking about trading, you also have a large amount of money to put on the market.
    Be cautious and invest in a secure and reliable wallet. An exchange can be closed and busted anytime, and so are your money.  It happened in Bitcoin’s early days. The catastrophic collapse resulted in losing over 800,000 bitcoins and customers were never able to receive their money back.

    Some see trading Bitcoin as a Wild West, without any regulations and legitimate backup. While others are sure that it is a manifesto of liberation. Something is well known, it’s a game of which nobody can predict the end result.

    Well, we hope that Bitcoin is gonna win! We are working on it!

    Listen to this guy.

    Risk Disclosure (read carefully!)