{"id":6596,"date":"2019-03-12T11:58:46","date_gmt":"2019-03-12T11:58:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wasteyourtime.co\/?p=6596"},"modified":"2019-09-06T22:35:38","modified_gmt":"2019-09-06T21:35:38","slug":"investors-focused-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/","title":{"rendered":"Investors are focused on Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><\/h1>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2 min read<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-6431 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642.png\" alt=\"Investors are focused on Brexit\" width=\"800\" height=\"239\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642.png 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642-300x90.png 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642-768x229.png 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642-370x111.png 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642-760x227.png 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/bmw-and-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit-2-e1552391641642-424x127.png 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Investors are focused on Brexit. The House of Commons of the UK should again start voting for the Brexit agreement, presented by Prime Minister, Theresa May. During the first vote, the Parliament rejected the Prime Minister&#8217;s deal. If the revote again fails, the events may develop in <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/bmw-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit\/\">two scenarios<\/a>: the UK will leave the EU without an agreement, or the Brexit date will be rescheduled. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But let see the risk of Brexit and the potential impact on the UK economy. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We also consider the likely reaction by markets for sterling, equities, and bonds.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We just want to inform investors.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#The_EU_is_the_UKs_biggest_trading_partner\" >The EU is the UK\u2019s biggest trading partner.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#Foreign_direct_investment_is_really_important_for_financing_the_UK\" >Foreign direct investment is really important for financing the UK.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#EU_membership_is_frequently_indicted_the_UKs_perceived_migration_problem\" >EU membership is frequently indicted the UK\u2019s perceived migration problem<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#The_UKs_contribution_to_the_EUs_budget_is_not_a_significant\" >The UK\u2019s contribution to the EU\u2019s budget is not a significant<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#UK_labor_market_will_be_less_flexible\" >UK labor market will be less flexible<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#A_Brexit_scenario_is_likely_to_cause_sterling_to_fall_further\" >A Brexit scenario is likely to cause sterling to fall further.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#The_outlook_for_UK_equities_is_mixed_under_Brexit\" >The outlook for UK equities is mixed under Brexit.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#The_outlook_for_bonds_is_mixed_under_Brexit\" >The outlook for bonds is mixed under Brexit.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/#The_latest_news_Ryanair_UK_investors_to_lose_rights_in_no-deal_Brexit\" >The latest news: Ryanair UK investors to lose rights in no-deal Brexit<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_EU_is_the_UKs_biggest_trading_partner\"><\/span><b><i>The EU is the UK\u2019s biggest trading partner.<\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But, the UK is also a very important export address for the EU. Brexit may bring the UK the freedom to arrange trade agreements with third parties. But it may have to lose access to parts of the single market, and would almost surely be outside the customs union.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Foreign_direct_investment_is_really_important_for_financing_the_UK\"><\/span><b><i>Foreign direct investment is really important for financing the UK. <\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The UK has a strong connection to Europe and vice versa. If Brexit causes the UK to lose access to the single market, it could cause capital inflows to reverse. The existing stock of assets and liabilities is very large. Say that, this has a huge impact on markets in a confusing plot.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"EU_membership_is_frequently_indicted_the_UKs_perceived_migration_problem\"><\/span><b><i>EU membership is frequently indicted the UK\u2019s perceived migration problem<\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Truth is that most immigrants come from non-EU countries. From an economic viewpoint, EU migrants arrive ready to work, pay taxes, and ease the difficulties of an aging population. Limiting migration in a Brexit scenario would almost certainly lower the UK\u2019s trend growth, and increase the burden on the exchequer. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_UKs_contribution_to_the_EUs_budget_is_not_a_significant\"><\/span><b><i>The UK\u2019s contribution to the EU\u2019s budget is not a significant<\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When the UK decides to leave the EU, finally, with just 0.2% ( December 2018) of gross national income, that saving wouldn&#8217;t solve a dent in the UK\u2019s fiscal black hole. Moreover, if the UK chooses to follow the path of Norway or Switzerland, some costs may also be required.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"UK_labor_market_will_be_less_flexible\"><\/span><b><i>UK labor market will be less flexible<\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Restrictions on EU migration may cause the UK labor market to become less flexible to demand. With raising the likelihood of more pronounced wage, inflation and interest rate cycles. A more cyclical economy would not only make recessions more frequent, but international investors could demand a discount on UK assets given the higher volatility of expected returns.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Brexit_scenario_is_likely_to_cause_sterling_to_fall_further\"><\/span><b><i>A Brexit scenario is likely to cause sterling to fall further. <\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are all witnesses to that.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Having already seen its first-class <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-brexit\/\">depreciation<\/a> since the financial crisis in recent months, we can say that a further fall is likely under Brexit. But, the sterling could rebound should the UK vote to remain, as many investors have already started to hedge their sterling exposure.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_outlook_for_UK_equities_is_mixed_under_Brexit\"><\/span><b><i>The outlook for UK equities is mixed under Brexit. <\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The UK\u2019s large-cap index has a large proportion of its revenues coming from outside both the UK and EU. If sterling depreciates, these companies may see the sterling value of profits rise. So, they would therefore benefit. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The mid and small-cap indices have more exposure to the UK and EU and could underperform as a result.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_outlook_for_bonds_is_mixed_under_Brexit\"><\/span><b><i>The outlook for bonds is mixed under Brexit.<\/i><\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Credits could have wider spreads. The investors demand a higher premium against the risk of lower growth and higher default risk. Meanwhile, gilts (Gilt-edged securities are bonds issued by the UK Government)are likely to see higher domestic demand from safe-haven flows.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_latest_news_Ryanair_UK_investors_to_lose_rights_in_no-deal_Brexit\"><\/span><b>The latest news: Ryanair UK investors to lose rights in no-deal Brexit<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Guardian<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, British citizens who own shares in Ryanair will be barred from buying more stock, voting on company resolutions or attending annual shareholder meetings if a no-deal Brexit goes ahead, the Dublin-based carrier said on Monday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EU regulations require that airlines flying under a European license must be majority-owned and controlled by shareholders from the trading block. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ryanair said that to comply with these regulations it would have to restrict the rights of British shareholders, who control about 20% of the company\u2019s stock, to bring them into line with other non-EU investors.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a statement to the stock market, Ryanair said: \u201cThese resolutions will remain in place until the board determines that the ownership and control of the company is no longer such that there is any risk to the airline licenses held by the company\u2019s subsidiaries.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ryanair has previously published a guide to the ramifications of a hard Brexit for its UK shareholders, explaining its rationale for the decision and claiming it has no alternative.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Don&#8217;t waste your time.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2018\/07\/money-risk-trading\"><b>risk disclosure<\/b><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2 min read Investors are focused on Brexit. The House of Commons of the UK should again start voting for the Brexit agreement, presented by Prime Minister, Theresa May. During the first vote, the Parliament rejected the Prime Minister&#8217;s deal. If the revote again fails, the events may develop in two scenarios: the UK will [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":5882,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1004,1005],"tags":[251,264,841],"class_list":["post-6596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-financial-news","category-market-today","tag-brexit","tag-investors","tag-uk-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Brexit will affect the business? Investors are focused on Brexit.<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Investors are focused on Brexit. 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