{"id":5879,"date":"2019-02-08T08:48:23","date_gmt":"2019-02-08T08:48:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wasteyourtime.co\/?p=5879"},"modified":"2019-09-06T13:29:15","modified_gmt":"2019-09-06T12:29:15","slug":"pound-falls-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-brexit\/","title":{"rendered":"Pound falls on Brexit stage fright and BoE Decision"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><\/h1>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2 min read<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5881 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2.jpg\" alt=\"Pound falls on Brexit stage fright and BoE Decision 1\" width=\"800\" height=\"515\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2-300x193.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2-768x494.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2-370x238.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2-760x489.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-2-424x273.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Sterling pound yesterday dropped below 2-week lows in the early London session.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The investors priced-in <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Brexit\">Brexit<\/a> uncertainty ahead of a crucial meeting between Theresa May and the European Commission President. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The GBP\/USD currency pair dropped to new 2.5-week lows following the Bank of England\u2018s interest rate decision in the mid-European session.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The GBP\/USD currency pair yesterday dropped to a low of 1.2855 following the BoE rate decision before rallying to a high of 1.2997 on Mark Carney\u2018s balanced comments.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sterling is trading little changed at around mid 1.2900 before the UK Prime Minister Theresa May reaches Dublin to meet her Irish counterpart and discuss the problematical border plan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cable (GBPUSD, often referred to as \u201cThe Cable\u201d) tested fresh lows in the mid-1.2800s on Thursday. Although running to recover some ground later and close the day with small gains. It was a small drop in open interest and a decent raise in volume. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There is a potential continuation of the bounce, which will leave at the same time occasional dips shallow.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the time of writing, the Pound was down 0.02% at $1.2932.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5880 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision.jpg\" alt=\"Pound falls on Brexit stage fright and BoE Decision\" width=\"800\" height=\"311\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-300x117.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-768x299.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-370x144.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-760x295.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-on-brexit-stage-fright-and-boe-decision-424x165.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\"><em>image Pound falls source Yahoo Finance<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 4 hours chart shows that the pair quickly recovered above its 200 EMA, although it has already tested levels below it. A bearish 20 SMA keeps capping the upside, while technical indicators have recovered from oversold levels, now losing upward strength within <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/\">negative<\/a> levels, indicating that the risk of an upward extension remains limited. The pair would need to surpass the 1.3040 resistance to be able to extend its gains toward the 1.3100 price zone, yet as long as Brexit uncertainty prevails, the most likely scenario is sellers taking their chances on spikes above 1.3000.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Support levels: \u00a01.2925 1.2880 1.2835<\/b><br \/>\n<b>Resistance levels: 1.2995 1.3040 1.3090<\/b><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-brexit\/#What_about_shares\" >What about shares?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/02\/pound-falls-brexit\/#All_options_are_still_on_the_table\" >All options are still on the table<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_about_shares\"><\/span><b>What about shares?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UK shares were having a good day on Tuesday, with the FTSE 100 has gone from strength to strength as the morning has progressed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Shortly before midday, the UK&#8217;s benchmark share index was up 106.95 points, or 1.5%, at 7,141.08.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The index was given a lift early on by BP&#8217;s better-than-expected results, which have pushed the oil giant&#8217;s shares up more than 5%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Shares were also boosted after the pound fell back in the wake of the disappointing survey of the UK services sector.<\/span><br \/>\n<strong>Currently, rate is $1 = \u00a30.7728.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Shares often rise when sterling falls. The weaker currency lifts the value of companies&#8217; overseas earnings when they are brought back to the UK and converted back into pounds.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Governor Carney\u2019s said on Thursday, that further rate hikes should not be priced out of the Pound.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/bmw-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit\/\">Focus<\/a> returns to Brexit and whether Theresa May can find more support for concessions to deliver a deal pleasant to Parliament.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"All_options_are_still_on_the_table\"><\/span><b>All options are still on the table<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With the UK government still working its way to the UK parliament with the Brexit agreement approval, the Brexit uncertainty is set for the next weeks. The 2019 GBP\/USD forecast highly depend on the result of the Brexit deal going forward. All options are still on the table leaving different GBP\/USD scenarios all applicable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sterling could fall past 1.2000 level that historically frames the bottom and serves as a territory of rebound for GBP\/USD in case of hard Brexit. The reasonable solution for all interested parties in the UK parliament, the UK government and in the EU should be to avoid the scenario of no-deal Brexit. That would throw the UK economy and Sterling into confusion with the Bank of England saying the bottom for Sterling would be some 25% lower. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Also, no transition Brexit would realize an unfavorable scenario for Sterling with falling to the lowest level since 1985 of 1.0700. Such scenarios are still considered doubtful. Should such scenarios develop, it is almost a sure shot for traders while buying GBP\/USD at historical or\/and cyclical lows. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The chance of the UK finally making some kind of Brexit deal with the European Union is still the mainstream scenario for the UK and for GBP\/USD. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A no-deal Brexit is still not the most probable scenario for the UK economy going into 2019. The UK parliament stands in deep opposition to the Brexit deal agreed by the government. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The ruling Conservative party is divided profoundly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2018\/07\/money-risk-trading\"><b>risk disclosure<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2 min read The Sterling pound yesterday dropped below 2-week lows in the early London session. The investors priced-in Brexit uncertainty ahead of a crucial meeting between Theresa May and the European Commission President. The GBP\/USD currency pair dropped to new 2.5-week lows following the Bank of England\u2018s interest rate decision in the mid-European session. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":5882,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1004,1005],"tags":[251,717,757,758,759,730],"class_list":["post-5879","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-financial-news","category-market-today","tag-brexit","tag-eu","tag-gbp-usd","tag-pund","tag-sterlng-pound","tag-uk"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pound falls on Brexit stage fright and BoE Decision<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Sterling pound yesterday dropped below 2-week lows in the early London session. 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