{"id":5295,"date":"2019-01-30T08:01:44","date_gmt":"2019-01-30T08:01:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wasteyourtime.co\/?p=5295"},"modified":"2020-07-09T10:26:31","modified_gmt":"2020-07-09T09:26:31","slug":"crisis-black-forecast-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"CRISIS &#8211; Analysts Have BLACK FORECAST FOR 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#Analysts_have_black_predictions_for_the_coming_year_The_crisis_is_knocking_the_door\" >Analysts have black predictions for the coming year. The crisis is knocking the door.<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#By_Traders-Paradise_Team\" >By Traders-Paradise Team<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#Both_countries_have_been_breaking_EU_budget_rules\" >Both countries have been breaking EU budget rules.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#But_Mitch_Feierstein_is_not_alone\" >But Mitch Feierstein is not alone.<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#A_new_recession_wave_is_coming\" >A new recession wave is coming<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#The_American_stock_market_killed_by_a_strong_word\" >The American stock market killed by a strong word<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-2019\/#The_bubble_pops_off_in_one_place_but_the_crisis_arrives_everywhere\" >The bubble pops off in one place, but the crisis arrives everywhere<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Analysts_have_black_predictions_for_the_coming_year_The_crisis_is_knocking_the_door\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5296 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019.jpg\" alt=\"CRISIS - BLACK FORECAST FOR 2019\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019-768x384.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019-370x185.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019-760x380.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/crisis-black-forecast-for-2019-424x212.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>Analysts have black predictions for the coming year. The crisis is knocking the door.<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<h6><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"By_Traders-Paradise_Team\"><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Traders_Paradis\">By Traders-Paradise Team<\/a><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>We will face the worst crisis, which is the analysts&#8217; prediction. Here is the selection of their statements.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;The European Union is about to implode this year.&#8221; investor <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mitch_Feierstein\">Mitch Feierstein<\/a> has predicted in a New Year episode of the Keiser Report. He also unveils which country will become the next Greece. The answer is surprising.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>This year will be hard for Europe not only due to Brexit. The other member states could also bring the bloc down, according to Feierstein. &#8220;Nationwide protests in France are only the first sign of looming wider unrest,&#8221; the analyst stated to Russia Today.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cYou are gonna see global unrest. I think you\u2019ll it as a feature in Italy when the EU tries to bully them,\u201d the British-American investor noted, citing infective \u201cdraconian austerity measures.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But, not only Italy but also France could follow the fate of debt-ridden Greece, Feierstein warned. He noted the low approval rating of President Emmanuel Macron, rising unemployment, and huge wealth inequality in the country.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cItaly has got four trillion in loans they said there are not going repay\u2026 France has got a similar situation but they\u2019ve got civil unrest with the population burning down Paris. So one of them will leave,\u201d he predicted.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Both_countries_have_been_breaking_EU_budget_rules\"><\/span><b>Both countries have been breaking EU budget rules.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After just one year of compliance in 2018, Paris announced that its budget deficit for 2019 is set to be 0.2 percent higher than the three percent threshold that the bloc\u2019s rules allow. Brussels agreed to tolerate the breach. The same as it had been doing so for almost a decade before Macron\u2019s presidency.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Italy has also been at loggerheads with the 28-nation union. Last year, the EU Commission wanted to put Italy in an economic disciplinary program over a serious breach of EU regulations on debt. The standoff between Rome and Brussels was settled only in mid-December when Italy agreed to a budget deal despite domestic criticism from the opposition.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"But_Mitch_Feierstein_is_not_alone\"><\/span><b>But Mitch Feierstein is not alone.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The economist <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nouriel_Roubini\">Nouriel Roubini<\/a>, also known as Dr. Doom also warns that we are in the midst of a new asset bubble that could end in a crash bigger than that in 2008.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He made a list of 10 reasons why the world is at the threshold of a new crisis. Almost each of them begins and ends with a single name &#8211; Donald Trampa. But also insults on his account.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As the first reason for the new crisis, Nouriel recognizes the fiscal-stimulus policies that are currently pushing the annual US growth rate above its 2% potential are unsustainable. His opinion is that by 2020, the stimulus will run out, and a modest fiscal drag will pull growth from 3% to slightly below 2%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Second, the US economy is now overheating, and inflation is rising above target. The US Federal Reserve will thus continue to raise the federal funds rate from its current 2% to at least 3.5% by 2020. That will likely push up short- and long-term interest rates as well as the US dollar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;The inflation is also increasing in other key economies, and rising oil prices are contributing to additional inflationary pressures. That means the other major central banks will follow the Fed toward monetary-policy normalization, which will reduce global liquidity and put upward pressure on interest rates.&#8221; &#8211; wrote Nouriel for The Guardian in September last year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In his explanation he wrote further:<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;&#8230; once a correction occurs, the risk of illiquidity and fire sales\/undershooting will become more severe. There are reduced market-making and warehousing activities by broker-dealers. Excessive high-frequency\/algorithmic trading will raise the likelihood of \u201cflash crashes.\u201d And fixed-income instruments have become more concentrated in open-ended exchange-traded and dedicated credit funds.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_new_recession_wave_is_coming\"><\/span><b>A new recession wave is coming <\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Jo%C5%BEe_Mencinger\">Joze Mencinger<\/a>, \u00a0Slovenian lawyer, economist, and politician, believes that the world is waiting for a new wave of economic instability. He is also called the architect of the Slovenian transition. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;Lately most of the crisis has been due to a lack of demand, because, mankind has no problem on the supply side, we have a problem on the demand side. We can simply say that the production of a car is cheaper than its sale,&#8221; Mencinger believes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If there is just one question in this test: is the world awaiting a new crisis? It is frightening, but these economists would complete a positive answer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are many indications that growth will slow down. And this is in a way accepted today by IMF and World Bank officials in projections for next years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Contrary to these catastrophic forecasts, we have to notice. In order to make a recession, employment usually falls, and growth becomes negative, industrial production falls. All of these indicators are still strong and do not indicate that we are entering a recession. Of course, there are some events that can lead to it and this should be followed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_American_stock_market_killed_by_a_strong_word\"><\/span><b>The American stock market killed by a strong word<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">December events on the US stock market are, of course, something to be watched. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It all began before the Catholic Christmas when American brokers had the worst Christmas Day ever. The stock indices seemed to have been <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/bear-market-rally\/\">riding<\/a> on the roller-cruiser because they returned to the highest level since 2009 the next day. Blumberg described this situation as bizarre.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The financial sector overlooks the real sector. Because in the real sector there are no such swings. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And it looks that the term &#8221;bizarre&#8221; is just fine.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It seems that in December last year the US stock market killed a too strong word. The market did not come as a result of the fact that the US Federal Reserve Administration raised interest rates. From the tightening of the monetary policy, the much worse exchange was a &#8220;verbal delict&#8221;.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The market is always sensitive to what the officials of powerful states declare. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And perhaps officials today are not completely aware of this, but their word affects the markets. This is not a new phenomenon. This is well known and therefore traditionally central bankers give very careful statements. The fact is that their word is analyzed and evaluated by the investment public. It can affect the movement of prices in the financial market.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_bubble_pops_off_in_one_place_but_the_crisis_arrives_everywhere\"><\/span><b>The bubble pops off in one place, but the crisis arrives everywhere<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Big crises are like blowing balloons. The bubble that began to swell at the end of December soon vanished. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And it&#8217;s just when the indexes have come close to nearly 20 percent. This is considered a border, after which what investors call &#8220;bear market&#8221;. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This means that the stock market is on a descending path and that the bad days are coming. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fortunately, this time it did not happen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But, unlike in 2008, the governments had the policy tools needed to prevent a free fall.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8221;The policymakers who must confront the next downturn will have their hands tied while overall debt levels are higher than during the previous crisis. When it comes, the next crisis and recession could be even more severe and prolonged than the last&#8221;, pointed Nouriel Roubini.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The truth is one if we enter the new crisis. People around the world will pay these costs, and this will guarantee profits primarily to the super-rich. After all, they own property. Whether it is a state tax, an increase in the purchase price of goods and services, or any fees for services. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With the cut of costs, the rest of the welfare state will make this enormous debt will pay billions of the people by their work and their mostly poor income.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts have black predictions for the coming year. The crisis is knocking the door. By Traders-Paradise Team We will face the worst crisis, which is the analysts&#8217; prediction. Here is the selection of their statements. &#8220;The European Union is about to implode this year.&#8221; investor Mitch Feierstein has predicted in a New Year episode of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":5299,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1004,1005],"tags":[733,734,735,736,737,738],"class_list":["post-5295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-financial-news","category-market-today","tag-crisis","tag-dr-doom","tag-financial-crisis","tag-joze-mencinger","tag-mitch-feierstein","tag-nouriel-roubini"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>This crisis will be worse than 11 years ago, some economists say.<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The EU will collapse, and these countries will become NEW GREECE! 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