{"id":4979,"date":"2019-01-02T08:42:11","date_gmt":"2019-01-02T08:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wasteyourtime.co\/?p=4979"},"modified":"2019-09-02T12:30:14","modified_gmt":"2019-09-02T11:30:14","slug":"chaotic-december-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"A chaotic December in equity markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2 min read<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-6' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-6'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#Image_from_shutterstockcom\" >Image from shutterstock.com<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#Two_golden_rules_have_been_broken\" >Two golden rules have been broken.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#The_December_2018_chaos_is_making_investors_nervous\" >The December 2018 chaos is making investors nervous.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#This_market_turbulence_isnt_normal\" >This market turbulence isn&#8217;t normal.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#But_volatility_remained_this_year_Stocks_are_down\" >But volatility remained this year. Stocks are down.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#Not_only_stocks_but_Bitcoin_has_also_had_a_brutal_2018\" >Not only stocks, but Bitcoin has also had a brutal 2018.<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/chaotic-december-markets\/#However_that_prediction_is_blown_out\" >However, that prediction is blown out.<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h6 style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Image_from_shutterstockcom\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4982\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-2-e1546417466823.jpg\" alt=\"A chaotic December in equity markets 1\" width=\"800\" height=\"565\" \/><em>Image from shutterstock.com<\/em><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h6>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What caused a chaotic December? A chaotic December in equity markets is closing. But, at the end of the year, these were not usual circumstances.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s \u201ccompletely bizarre,\u201d says Stephen Innes, head of trading for the Asia Pacific at Oanda Corp. \u201cIt\u2019s incredible just how harmful markets veer when sentiment slides.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Innes mostly is keeping his money on the sidelines. But he has been taking profit on some winning investments. And, also, from blue-chip stocks whose valuations have dropped in the December sell-off.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Like many other traders in Asia, he\u2019s been watching events play out in the U.S. from a distance, astonished at what he sees.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, what he did see?<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4980\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets.jpg\" alt=\"A chaotic December in equity markets\" width=\"800\" height=\"434\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-300x163.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-768x417.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-370x201.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-760x412.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-424x230.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The S&amp;P 500 Index posted its biggest upward reversal since 2010 on Thursday. Just a day after the largest advance since 2009. Despite this two-day gain, the measure is still down almost 10 percent in December alone.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That&#8217;s the largest drop for each key market barometer since 1931, according to data from LPL Research. But those Depression-era losses were much bigger: the S&amp;P 500 plunged 14.5% while the Dow plunged 17%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Two_golden_rules_have_been_broken\"><\/span><b>Two golden rules have been broken.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First, since 1945, December has produced the highest average gains of any month. But December is the worst month of the year. Second, since the 1970s, the S&amp;P 500 has never slumped when earnings growth was more than 10 percent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mark Matthews, head of Asia research at Bank Julius Baer &amp; Co. in Singapore, is planning to ride it out. \u201cI remain invested through good times and bad,\u201d he says. \u201cNot being invested, over the long term, is like betting against the house in a casino.\u201d He is a long-only investor.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_December_2018_chaos_is_making_investors_nervous\"><\/span><b>The December 2018 chaos is making investors nervous. <\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This chaotic December in 2018 could have an impact in the future. The investors are worried that the economy could slow in 2019 because of continued trade tensions with China and rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Dow and S&amp;P 500 are both in the red for the year, their worst annual loss since the 2008 Great Recession, and first annual loss since 2015. Last year, the S&amp;P 500 returned 22%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the past, eight to nine years never happened the U.S. market dropping at this magnitude and speed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maybe the solution is to go overweight cash for the time being. The volatility will continue until year-end until investors get a clearer picture from the holiday earnings season, say experts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But longer-term, it is unknown if this will prove a \u201chealthy correction\u201d. The investors may find the S&amp;P 500\u2019s low valuations are attractive and earnings come in above expectations. Or it will mark the end of the bull run. Either way, one thing\u2019s for certain, this movement is definitely unusual.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"This_market_turbulence_isnt_normal\"><\/span><b>This market turbulence isn&#8217;t normal. <\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Maybe investors should keep away from new trades and tend to the existing investments. Anyway, investors opinion is very bad. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yes, most of them don&#8217;t think that this huge volatility will continue. But also, they are thinking that it is not a quite good idea to trade stock while the market is like this.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The investors can&#8217;t hope that the markets will turn around in the year&#8217;s final days. They are here and it is obvious that nothing will change.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the past years, December was usually a very solid month for the market. Professional money managers used to buy top-performing stocks. That made their portfolios look good. This phenomenon is known as window dressing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There was also the somewhat mysterious Santa Claus rally effect. The market was very well in the final week of the years.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There was some chalk up to light trading volume with so many people off for the Christmas holiday.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"But_volatility_remained_this_year_Stocks_are_down\"><\/span><b>But volatility remained this year. Stocks are down.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is, as we can see, unusual for this time of year. But the people take holidays. They have hope that the U.S. economy is robust and the sell-off will bottom out. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For this time of year, some people are probably a little more focused on the market. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But trying to explain short-term movements in the markets is an exercise in futility because generally, it is pretty random.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Not_only_stocks_but_Bitcoin_has_also_had_a_brutal_2018\"><\/span><b>Not only stocks, but Bitcoin has also had a brutal 2018.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This chaotic December in 2018 had an impact on cryptos too.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The world\u2019s largest cryptocurrency by market cap is nearly 84% since its meteoric rise topped out at an all-time high of $19,870 in December 2017.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But just after bitcoin (BTC-USD) peaked, technical trader Peter Brandt made a fantastically prescient call. This has recently resurfaced in crypto circles. In January, he called for an 80% retrace of bitcoin\u2019s parabolic advance, predicting a $3,933 price target. Bitcoin is currently trading around $3,600. It was very close.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But as ever, there were different opinions.<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4985\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-4.jpg\" alt=\"A chaotic December in equity markets 3\" width=\"700\" height=\"351\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-4.jpg 700w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-4-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-4-370x186.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/a-chaotic-december-in-equity-markets-4-424x213.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The dominant Bitcoin price prediction was that Bitcoin would reach the $14,000 mark by the end of 2018. <\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"However_that_prediction_is_blown_out\"><\/span><b>However, that prediction is blown out.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite some optimists who were hoping that Bitcoin will break through the $100,000 barrier till the end of this year. In fact, Jim Cramer was predicting that Bitcoin will go as far as shattering the million dollar threshold one day.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To do so, market capitalization should surpass 1 trillion USD just on BTC to reach $66,000 per coin, a 10x increase. Well, the entire market cap is at $212 billion. The BTC market cap was $170 billion almost a year ago. Now it is $115 billion and it was at $800 billion in January 2018. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, who knows what can happen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/price\/bitcoin\">Today&#8217;s price of BTC you can see here<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One thing is certain. After this chaotic December in 2018, next year will be difficult and uncertain. Markets will be full of volatility. Permanent ups and downs. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Anyway, it will be interesting.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2018\/07\/money-risk-trading\/\"><b>Risk Disclosure (read carefully!)<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2 min read Image from shutterstock.com What caused a chaotic December? A chaotic December in equity markets is closing. But, at the end of the year, these were not usual circumstances. It\u2019s \u201ccompletely bizarre,\u201d says Stephen Innes, head of trading for the Asia Pacific at Oanda Corp. \u201cIt\u2019s incredible just how harmful markets veer when [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4820,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1004,1005],"tags":[650,113,182,104],"class_list":["post-4979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-financial-news","category-market-today","tag-crypto-market","tag-investing","tag-stock-market","tag-trading"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>A chaotic December in equity markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A chaotic December in equity markets is closing. \u00a0But, at the end of the year, these are not usual circumstances. 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