{"id":20249,"date":"2019-12-24T17:12:26","date_gmt":"2019-12-24T17:12:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/?p=20249"},"modified":"2019-12-24T17:12:26","modified_gmt":"2019-12-24T17:12:26","slug":"superstition-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Superstition In the Stock Market May Lead You to Lose the Shirt"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#Stevie_Wonder_wrote_in_his_famous_song_Very_superstitious_Writings_on_the_wall_Very_superstitious_Ladders_about_to_fall_Thirteen-month-old_baby_Broke_the_looking_glass_Seven_years_of_bad_luck_Good_things_in_your_past\" >Stevie Wonder wrote in his famous song: \nVery superstitious \nWriting&#8217;s on the wall \nVery superstitious \nLadder&#8217;s about to fall \nThirteen-month-old baby \nBroke the looking glass \nSeven years of bad luck \nGood things in your past<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#But_do_superstitions_really_affect_the_stock_markets\" >But do superstitions really affect the stock markets?\u00a0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#First_superstition_Friday_13th\" >First superstition: Friday 13th<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#Superstition_In_the_stock_market_No2_Did_you_know_anything_about_the_witching_hour\" >Superstition In the stock market No2: Did you know anything about the witching hour?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#Superstition_In_the_Stock_Market_No3_Sell_on_Rosh_Hashanah_and_buy_on_Yom_Kippur\" >Superstition In the Stock Market No3: Sell on Rosh Hashanah and buy on Yom Kippur<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#Superstition_No_4_Super_Bowl_theory\" >Superstition No 4: Super Bowl theory<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#October_Effect\" >October Effect<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/12\/superstition-stock-market\/#Bottom_line\" >Bottom line<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Stevie_Wonder_wrote_in_his_famous_song_Very_superstitious_Writings_on_the_wall_Very_superstitious_Ladders_about_to_fall_Thirteen-month-old_baby_Broke_the_looking_glass_Seven_years_of_bad_luck_Good_things_in_your_past\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20250 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1.jpg\" alt=\"Superstition In the Stock Market\" width=\"800\" height=\"533\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1-370x247.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1-760x506.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/superstition-in-the-market-top-1-424x282.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Stevie Wonder wrote in his famous song:<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/span><strong><em>Very superstitious<br \/>\nWriting&#8217;s on the wall<br \/>\nVery superstitious<br \/>\nLadder&#8217;s about to fall<br \/>\nThirteen-month-old baby<br \/>\nBroke the looking glass<br \/>\nSeven years of bad luck<br \/>\nGood things in your past<\/em><\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Superstition is so live in the stock market that you can barely believe. Imagine that it is Friday 13, just like it was in April, September, and December this year. Some people, especially scientifically-minded, would roll the eyes. But, despite the fact that Friday 13th is just a day in the calendar and it may occur several times in one year, some investors truly believe that it is a bad-luck day.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When enough investors share this foolish belief, stock prices can be changed but not in the investors&#8217; favor.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"But_do_superstitions_really_affect_the_stock_markets\"><\/span><strong>But do superstitions really affect the stock markets?\u00a0<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some studies revealed that people are more risk-averse when thinking about Friday13.<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One study from 2005 discovered that hesitation to do business on this day ends in a loss for the US economy of almost $900 billion. Does this scare affect stock prices? Believe or not, yes.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"First_superstition_Friday_13th\"><\/span><strong>First superstition: Friday 13th<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to a study, returns on Friday 13th are lower compared with other days.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This Friday 13th effect was broad spread among numerous investors until 1980 but has disappeared. The reason is simple: automated trading erased the \u201cFriday 13th effect\u201d.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But it so funny to talk about Wall Street superstitions. So let&#8217;s proceed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Superstition_In_the_stock_market_No2_Did_you_know_anything_about_the_witching_hour\"><\/span><b>Superstition In the stock market No2:<\/b> <b>Did you know anything about the witching hour?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Several years ago I found an article written by the man who worked as a broker on Wall Street. I am sorry, I didn&#8217;t remember his name. But what I remember is the witching hours are between 2 and 3 PM. Superstition linked to this part of the day (notice, it was on a daily base) was related to market close. If the market sold off at that time, it was a sure sign that the market will be closed on a positive mark. In that interval, from 2 to 3 PM, he and his colleagues were maniacally buying stocks. Just to provide a stronger close.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It worked until it didn&#8217;t. They didn&#8217;t leave the stats.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Superstition_In_the_Stock_Market_No3_Sell_on_Rosh_Hashanah_and_buy_on_Yom_Kippur\"><\/span><b>Superstition In the Stock Market No3:<\/b> <b>Sell on Rosh Hashanah and buy on Yom Kippur<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The superstition works like this: on Rosh Hashanah, which is the first day of Jewish New Year investors should sell some of their positions and buy them back on Yom Kippur. This year Rosh Hashanah began on the evening of Sunday, September 29 and ended on the evening of Tuesday, October 1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Do you believe that this trade works? Well, yes. More often than not. But for Jewish. Maybe you should try to sell some of your positions on January 1 or on Christmas or on Islamic New Year. In 2020 it will begin in the evening of Wednesday, August 19 and ends in the evening of Thursday, August 20<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But I am not so sure, dates may vary.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chinese new year will begin on Saturday, January 25, 2020.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Did you know that for one part of Orthodox the New Year actually begins on January, 14? Confused? It is just a calendar. But if it works for Jewish why it doesn&#8217;t work for others? There is no reason. The only thing to consider is, do you have to trade according to the Jewish calendar or you can use any.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What I learned during my life is: about superstition and taste is worthless to argue. Take it or leave it.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Superstition_No_4_Super_Bowl_theory\"><\/span><b>Superstition No 4: Super Bowl theory<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This theory goes that the Dow Jones will have a good year if a National Football Conference (NFC) team wins the Super Bowl. But if the American Football Conference (AFC) team wins it will end the year lower.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For those with a lack of knowledge about American football, the American Football Conference (AFC) and National Football Conference (NFC) are parts of the National Football League (NFL). Honestly, European football is simpler.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From 1967 to 2003 this superstition showed it was accurate 68%.\u00a0 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Several years in a row AFC teams were winning the Super Bowl and that was a period of economic growth, but who cares?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let&#8217;s ask the stats.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was 1967 when one AFC team won the first Super Bowl. During the following period, AFC teams have won 11 times, if you check the stock market result you will be surprised. In 6 of those 11 years, the stock market was dropped. On the other side the stats aren&#8217;t so favorable, NFC won Super Bowl more than 30 times and Dow Jones didn&#8217;t advance in each of them.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"October_Effect\"><\/span><b>October Effect<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This one is a bit harder to rebut.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/09\/october-effect-investing-when-the-stock-market-go-lower\/\">The October effect<\/a> is a market anomaly. The stocks tend to decrease during October. Honestly, it is mainly a psychological effect rather than a real wonder. The stats show something different than this theory.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">October has this reputation thanks to Panic in 1907, Black Monday, Black Tuesday and Black Thursday in 1929, and Black Monday in 1987.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Black Monday, 1987 that happened on October 19. The Dow fall 22.6% in one day. It was possibly one of the most unlucky days for investors and the stock market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the scary title, this effect is not statistically exact. From a historical view, October has seen the end of bear markets more than it witnessed the beginnings. But, investors see this month as dangerous and they are selling, and that sentiment creates possibilities to buy on the other side. So, superstition or not, while one sees the end, the other will see the beginning.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bottom_line\"><\/span><b>Bottom line<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Irrationality and superstition in investing will always cause lower returns. Traders, whether they admit it or not, are superstitious. Some will have a happy pen, the other lucky shirt or underwear (hard to believe), some will have some other talisman. Superstition in the stock market is broad spread.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Luckily, many investors and traders are devoted to science, education, and knowledge.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Stevie_Wonder\">Stevie Wonder<\/a> wrote:<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>When you believe in things<br \/>\nThat you don&#8217;t understand,<br \/>\nThen you suffer,<br \/>\nSuperstition ain&#8217;t the way<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Happy trade!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stevie Wonder wrote in his famous song: Very superstitious Writing&#8217;s on the wall Very superstitious Ladder&#8217;s about to fall Thirteen-month-old baby Broke the looking glass Seven years of bad luck Good things in your past Superstition is so live in the stock market that you can barely believe. Imagine that it is Friday 13, just [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":20251,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1013,1012],"tags":[113,264,182,1504,143,104],"class_list":["post-20249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stocks","category-traders-secrets","tag-investing","tag-investors","tag-stock-market","tag-superstition","tag-traders","tag-trading"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Superstition In the Stock Market - Traders-Paradise<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Superstition in the stock market and investing will always cause lower returns. 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