{"id":14818,"date":"2019-08-07T06:57:56","date_gmt":"2019-08-07T05:57:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/?p=14818"},"modified":"2019-08-07T06:57:56","modified_gmt":"2019-08-07T05:57:56","slug":"pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/08\/pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound\/","title":{"rendered":"Pound falls on the UK PM&#8217;s threats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><em>3 min read<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-14823 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1.jpg\" alt=\"Pound falls on threats of &quot;no-deal&quot; Brexit\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1-370x208.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1-760x428.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/uk-pound-1-424x239.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em><strong>GBP reached a record low against the Euro.<\/strong><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Pond falls against the US dollar too.<\/strong><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Boris Johnson, the new UK Prime minister refused to reconsider his threat to leave the European Union with <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/07\/british-pound\/\">\u201cno-deal Brexit\u201d<\/a>. This decision already has a negative influence on the pound and pound falls.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GBP reached a record low against the Euro.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-14820 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1.jpg\" alt=\"Pound falls \" width=\"800\" height=\"433\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1-300x162.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1-768x416.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1-370x200.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1-760x411.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/EURGBP-6-08-1-424x229.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But the pound falls and GBP is under great pressure according to latest reports. It fell against the US dollar too.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-14821 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1.jpg\" alt=\"Pound falls on threats of &quot;no-deal&quot; Brexit\" width=\"800\" height=\"422\" srcset=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1-768x405.jpg 768w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1-370x195.jpg 370w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1-760x401.jpg 760w, https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/GBPUSD-6-08-1-424x224.jpg 424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The pound-to-euro exchange rate is quoted at 1.0853, the pound-to-dollar exchange rate at 1.2161. This level wasn&#8217;t noticed since October 2016. The date when former Prime Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/01\/no-deal-brexit\/\">Theresa May<\/a> declared her plan to trigger divorce from the EU. It is a clear sign that sterling fell to an almost-three-year low as no-deal Brexit worries rise. And now, pound falls more.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/08\/pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound\/#Johnson_%E2%80%9Cisnt_bluffing%E2%80%9D\" >Johnson &#8220;isn&#8217;t bluffing&#8221;<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/08\/pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound\/#The_market_expectations\" >The market expectations<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/08\/pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound\/#Clearly_Departing\" >Clearly Departing<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/08\/pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound\/#The_investors_concerns\" >The investors&#8217; concerns<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Johnson_%E2%80%9Cisnt_bluffing%E2%80%9D\"><\/span><b>Johnson &#8220;isn&#8217;t bluffing&#8221;<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The &#8216;no deal&#8217; Brexit will happen on October 31. The reports came after a meeting on Monday between European Commission officials and Brexit diplomats.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Guardian<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Telegraph<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> cited unnamed EU diplomat who said that &#8220;no deal&#8217; Brexit appears to be the UK government&#8217;s &#8220;central scenario&#8221;. Both media reported the EU is taking this situation as &#8220;[their] working hypothesis is &#8216;no deal&#8217;.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The investors are worried about Johnson&#8217;s stance. His &#8220;no-deal Brexit&#8221; thinking isn&#8217;t a good signal for them. Rehan Ansari, the currency expert at Caxton FX, commented for <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Express.co.uk<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the current exchange rate developments.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe data, however, was not enough to get the Pound off the back foot. GBPEUR printed a new low at 1.0819, a level not seen since August 2017,\u201d pointing out that &#8220;any volatility will likely be influenced by politics&#8221;.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_market_expectations\"><\/span><strong>The market expectations<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The market expects a &#8216;no deal&#8217; Brexit scenario, it is obvious. The forex strategists are seeking to set the levels that the British pound might be aiming. Some of them gave some numbers and found an alternative answer. Forex strategist Jordan Rochester said the GBP will settle at &#8220;hard Brexit equilibrium&#8221;. This is recognized as the level where the UK&#8217;s accounts would begin to balance themselves.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The main issue for the UK is that it is reaching a historically high deficit. In the first quarter of this year, it was at -5.6% of GDP. The consequence is that the UK imports goods and services more than it exports. That is an outflow of currency.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But there are some optimistic opinions. For example, Robert Halfon, a conservative politician, has faith that the drop of the pound will give more profit to exporters and boost British tourism.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cHopefully holidaymakers will choose GB as a holiday destination,\u201d he stated. Britons think it would be nice if it would be the truth. The truth is that leaving the EU may have a bad influence on the UK economy and national currency. But there is almost no chance for that to happen, as it is evident from Bank of England\u2019s predictions of 1-in-3 chances for post-Brexit recession.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Clearly_Departing\"><\/span><b>Clearly Departing<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Johnson said many times that he\u2019ll lead the UK out of the EU on Oct. 31. With or without a deal. Moreover, he has directed government departments to develop the plans for this divorce from the EU until the Halloween deadline. Johnson personally is going all over the country searching for wider support for his plans.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cIf they can\u2019t compromise, if they really can\u2019t do it, then clearly we have to get ready for a no-deal exit, and I think we\u2019ll do it,\u201d Johnson said. \u201cIt\u2019s up to the EU, it\u2019s their call.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_investors_concerns\"><\/span><b>The investors&#8217; concerns<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the UK leaves the EU with a &#8216;no deal&#8217; the country could be faced with dry-out of investment capital. The <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/investors-focused-brexit\/\">investors<\/a> are cautious, and they <a href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/03\/bmw-toyota-could-leave-uk-after-no-deal-brexit\/\">could leave<\/a> the pound &#8216;high and dry&#8217;.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The UK internal capital depends on outside capital. But the balance may be established. If pound drops more that would decrease the incentives to import. At the same time, it would increase the incentives for export. Hence, achieving a balance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The pound falls as markets raise expectations of the new political risks and a &#8216;no deal&#8217; Brexit on October 31.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>3 min read GBP reached a record low against the Euro. Pond falls against the US dollar too. Boris Johnson, the new UK Prime minister refused to reconsider his threat to leave the European Union with \u201cno-deal Brexit\u201d. This decision already has a negative influence on the pound and pound falls. GBP reached a record [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":14824,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1004,1005],"tags":[1129,251,1079,717,1130,1128],"class_list":["post-14818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-financial-news","category-market-today","tag-boris-johnson","tag-brexit","tag-british-pound","tag-eu","tag-pound-falls","tag-sterling-pound"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pound falls on threats of &quot;no-deal&quot; Brexit - Traders-Paradise<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pound falls because Boris Johnson and the UK government won\u2019t modify its tone about the &quot;no-deal&quot; Brexit to boost the pound.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/traders-paradise.com\/magazine\/2019\/08\/pound-falls-uk-wont-modify-its-tone-to-boost-pound\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pound falls on threats of &quot;no-deal&quot; Brexit - 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